Recent MetService forecasts and numerical weather prediction model consensus point to a daily maximum of 14°C in Wellington on August 12, supporting the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability, with 15°C close behind at 29.5%. Wellington’s August climatology features average highs near 12–13°C under typical westerly regimes, and current near-average seasonal conditions per NIWA outlooks align with this range. Recent daily maxima have fluctuated between 10–15°C amid variable southerly-to-northerly shifts and cloud cover, illustrating the sensitivity of local readings to transient pressure systems. Short-range model updates and official MetService briefings ahead of the 24-hour verification window remain the key catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 12 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 12 августа?
14°C 54%
15°C 25%
13°C 18%
16°C 4%
НОВОЕ
$10,797 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,797 Объем
12 авг. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
18%
14°C
54%
15°C
25%
16°C
4%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C или выше
<1%
14°C 54%
15°C 25%
13°C 18%
16°C 4%
НОВОЕ
$10,797 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,797 Объем
12 авг. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$615 Объем
<1%
10°C
$987 Объем
<1%
11°C
$830 Объем
1%
12°C
$704 Объем
2%
13°C
$1,775 Объем
18%
14°C
$1,651 Объем
54%
15°C
$1,931 Объем
25%
16°C
$509 Объем
4%
17°C
$641 Объем
1%
18°C
$494 Объем
<1%
19°C или выше
$659 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts and numerical weather prediction model consensus point to a daily maximum of 14°C in Wellington on August 12, supporting the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability, with 15°C close behind at 29.5%. Wellington’s August climatology features average highs near 12–13°C under typical westerly regimes, and current near-average seasonal conditions per NIWA outlooks align with this range. Recent daily maxima have fluctuated between 10–15°C amid variable southerly-to-northerly shifts and cloud cover, illustrating the sensitivity of local readings to transient pressure systems. Short-range model updates and official MetService briefings ahead of the 24-hour verification window remain the key catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$10,797Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts and numerical weather prediction model consensus point to a daily maximum of 14°C in Wellington on August 12, supporting the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability, with 15°C close behind at 29.5%. Wellington’s August climatology features average highs near 12–13°C under typical westerly regimes, and current near-average seasonal conditions per NIWA outlooks align with this range. Recent daily maxima have fluctuated between 10–15°C amid variable southerly-to-northerly shifts and cloud cover, illustrating the sensitivity of local readings to transient pressure systems. Short-range model updates and official MetService briefings ahead of the 24-hour verification window remain the key catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$10,797Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService forecasts and numerical weather prediction model consensus point to a daily maximum of 14°C in Wellington on August 12, supporting the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability, with 15°C close behind at 29.5%. Wellington’s August climatology features average highs near 12–13°C under typical westerly regimes, and current near-average seasonal conditions per NIWA outlooks align with this range. Recent daily maxima have fluctuated between 10–15°C amid variable southerly-to-northerly shifts and cloud cover, illustrating the sensitivity of local readings to transient pressure systems. Short-range model updates and official MetService briefings ahead of the 24-hour verification window remain the key catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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