Recent ECMWF and Météo-France model runs, amid a persistent European heatwave driven by a strong high-pressure ridge and subsiding air, position the Paris maximum on August 12 near 35–36 °C at the official Montsouris station. These outcomes dominate trader consensus because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability in the 48-hour window, with only modest differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover, and urban heat-island amplification. Historical August climatology (long-term 80th–90th percentiles near 32–34 °C) and the current positive temperature anomalies reinforce the elevated probabilities for 35 °C and 36 °C, while the low odds for 37 °C or higher reflect the narrow spread in deterministic and ensemble forecasts ahead of the next model update.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 12 августа?
35°C 48%
36°C 35%
34°C 9%
37°C 6%
$10,323 Объем
$10,323 Объем
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
9%
35°C
48%
36°C
35%
37°C
6%
38°C
2%
39°C или выше
<1%
35°C 48%
36°C 35%
34°C 9%
37°C 6%
$10,323 Объем
$10,323 Объем
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
9%
35°C
48%
36°C
35%
37°C
6%
38°C
2%
39°C или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ECMWF and Météo-France model runs, amid a persistent European heatwave driven by a strong high-pressure ridge and subsiding air, position the Paris maximum on August 12 near 35–36 °C at the official Montsouris station. These outcomes dominate trader consensus because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability in the 48-hour window, with only modest differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover, and urban heat-island amplification. Historical August climatology (long-term 80th–90th percentiles near 32–34 °C) and the current positive temperature anomalies reinforce the elevated probabilities for 35 °C and 36 °C, while the low odds for 37 °C or higher reflect the narrow spread in deterministic and ensemble forecasts ahead of the next model update.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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