Current forecast models point to mild overnight conditions in London driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover, which reduce radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 17–18°C, reflecting these stable atmospheric patterns and recent warming trends across southern England. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the urban heat island effect, potential for clearer skies enhancing heat retention versus any incoming Atlantic fronts introducing cooler air advection, and model consensus on dew points near 13–15°C. Met Office and ECMWF updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 12 августа?
18°C 38%
17°C 37%
16°C 18%
15°C 8%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
8%
16°C
18%
17°C
37%
18°C
35%
19°C
8%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 38%
17°C 37%
16°C 18%
15°C 8%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
8%
16°C
18%
17°C
37%
18°C
35%
19°C
8%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models point to mild overnight conditions in London driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover, which reduce radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 17–18°C, reflecting these stable atmospheric patterns and recent warming trends across southern England. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the urban heat island effect, potential for clearer skies enhancing heat retention versus any incoming Atlantic fronts introducing cooler air advection, and model consensus on dew points near 13–15°C. Met Office and ECMWF updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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