Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a highest temperature near 90°F in New York City on August 11, driven by a persistent warm, humid airmass under high pressure with light southwest flow and minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling. This aligns with the above-average August temperature outlook from the Climate Prediction Center, which assigns elevated odds for readings several degrees above the 1991–2020 Central Park normal of 83°F. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around the 88–92°F range, with only modest potential for stronger onshore winds or scattered convection to cap the peak lower. Official maximum temperature is recorded at the Central Park ASOS station using standard instrumentation, and any late-day updates from the 00Z or 12Z model runs could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends cooler.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 11 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 11 августа?
90-91°F 43%
88-89°F 29%
92-93°F 18%
86-87°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
83°F или ниже
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
43%
92-93°F
18%
94–95°F
6%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F или выше
<1%
90-91°F 43%
88-89°F 29%
92-93°F 18%
86-87°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
83°F или ниже
$101 Объем
1%
84-85°F
$106 Объем
1%
86-87°F
$227 Объем
7%
88-89°F
$103 Объем
29%
90-91°F
$185 Объем
43%
92-93°F
$118 Объем
18%
94–95°F
$191 Объем
6%
96-97°F
$44 Объем
1%
98-99°F
$102 Объем
1%
100-101°F
$74 Объем
<1%
102°F или выше
$86 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a highest temperature near 90°F in New York City on August 11, driven by a persistent warm, humid airmass under high pressure with light southwest flow and minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling. This aligns with the above-average August temperature outlook from the Climate Prediction Center, which assigns elevated odds for readings several degrees above the 1991–2020 Central Park normal of 83°F. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around the 88–92°F range, with only modest potential for stronger onshore winds or scattered convection to cap the peak lower. Official maximum temperature is recorded at the Central Park ASOS station using standard instrumentation, and any late-day updates from the 00Z or 12Z model runs could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends cooler.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$1,337Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a highest temperature near 90°F in New York City on August 11, driven by a persistent warm, humid airmass under high pressure with light southwest flow and minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling. This aligns with the above-average August temperature outlook from the Climate Prediction Center, which assigns elevated odds for readings several degrees above the 1991–2020 Central Park normal of 83°F. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around the 88–92°F range, with only modest potential for stronger onshore winds or scattered convection to cap the peak lower. Official maximum temperature is recorded at the Central Park ASOS station using standard instrumentation, and any late-day updates from the 00Z or 12Z model runs could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends cooler.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,337Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a highest temperature near 90°F in New York City on August 11, driven by a persistent warm, humid airmass under high pressure with light southwest flow and minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling. This aligns with the above-average August temperature outlook from the Climate Prediction Center, which assigns elevated odds for readings several degrees above the 1991–2020 Central Park normal of 83°F. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around the 88–92°F range, with only modest potential for stronger onshore winds or scattered convection to cap the peak lower. Official maximum temperature is recorded at the Central Park ASOS station using standard instrumentation, and any late-day updates from the 00Z or 12Z model runs could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends cooler.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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