Recent forecasts indicate increased shower and thunderstorm activity on August 14 will be the main factor capping Hong Kong's daily maximum, with models pointing to a 30–33°C range under a moist southwesterly airstream. Convective clouds and rainfall reduce surface insolation during peak heating hours, differentiating outcomes near 31°C versus 32°C depending on shower timing and coverage. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures amid long-term warming provide context, while recent very hot days (34°C+) reflect clearer conditions now giving way to more unsettled weather. Trader consensus around 31–32°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on the official absolute daily maximum at the Observatory station; stronger or earlier convection would favor the lower end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 14 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 14 августа?
31°C 38%
32°C 32%
30°C 16%
33°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 авг. 2026 г.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
16%
31°C
38%
32°C
32%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 32%
30°C 16%
33°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 авг. 2026 г.
26°C or below
$300 Объем
<1%
27°C
$254 Объем
<1%
28°C
$367 Объем
1%
29°C
$678 Объем
6%
30°C
$393 Объем
16%
31°C
$776 Объем
38%
32°C
$308 Объем
32%
33°C
$190 Объем
8%
34°C
$227 Объем
2%
35°C
$202 Объем
1%
36°C or higher
$261 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts indicate increased shower and thunderstorm activity on August 14 will be the main factor capping Hong Kong's daily maximum, with models pointing to a 30–33°C range under a moist southwesterly airstream. Convective clouds and rainfall reduce surface insolation during peak heating hours, differentiating outcomes near 31°C versus 32°C depending on shower timing and coverage. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures amid long-term warming provide context, while recent very hot days (34°C+) reflect clearer conditions now giving way to more unsettled weather. Trader consensus around 31–32°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on the official absolute daily maximum at the Observatory station; stronger or earlier convection would favor the lower end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$3,956Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts indicate increased shower and thunderstorm activity on August 14 will be the main factor capping Hong Kong's daily maximum, with models pointing to a 30–33°C range under a moist southwesterly airstream. Convective clouds and rainfall reduce surface insolation during peak heating hours, differentiating outcomes near 31°C versus 32°C depending on shower timing and coverage. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures amid long-term warming provide context, while recent very hot days (34°C+) reflect clearer conditions now giving way to more unsettled weather. Trader consensus around 31–32°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on the official absolute daily maximum at the Observatory station; stronger or earlier convection would favor the lower end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$3,956Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate increased shower and thunderstorm activity on August 14 will be the main factor capping Hong Kong's daily maximum, with models pointing to a 30–33°C range under a moist southwesterly airstream. Convective clouds and rainfall reduce surface insolation during peak heating hours, differentiating outcomes near 31°C versus 32°C depending on shower timing and coverage. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures amid long-term warming provide context, while recent very hot days (34°C+) reflect clearer conditions now giving way to more unsettled weather. Trader consensus around 31–32°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on the official absolute daily maximum at the Observatory station; stronger or earlier convection would favor the lower end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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