Latest short-range model guidance from the ECMWF, KNMI HARMONIE-AROME, and Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 22–23 °C in Amsterdam on 16 August under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. Stable high pressure near 1017 hPa limits strong advection of warmer continental air, while North Sea sea-surface temperatures near 18 °C cap daytime warming. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because the 48-hour forecast horizon reduces uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; a modest increase in afternoon insolation could push readings to 24 °C, while thicker low cloud would favor the lower end of the range. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 22 °C and 23 °C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 16 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 16 августа?
22°C 41%
23°C 38%
24°C 13%
21°C 8%
НОВОЕ
$14,231 Объем
НОВОЕ
$14,231 Объем
16 авг. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
8%
22°C
41%
23°C
38%
24°C
13%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
22°C 41%
23°C 38%
24°C 13%
21°C 8%
НОВОЕ
$14,231 Объем
НОВОЕ
$14,231 Объем
16 авг. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
$526 Объем
<1%
20°C
$552 Объем
<1%
21°C
$1,210 Объем
8%
22°C
$2,481 Объем
41%
23°C
$3,019 Объем
38%
24°C
$3,581 Объем
13%
25°C
$975 Объем
1%
26°C
$596 Объем
<1%
27°C
$490 Объем
<1%
28°C
$343 Объем
<1%
29°C или выше
$457 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range model guidance from the ECMWF, KNMI HARMONIE-AROME, and Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 22–23 °C in Amsterdam on 16 August under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. Stable high pressure near 1017 hPa limits strong advection of warmer continental air, while North Sea sea-surface temperatures near 18 °C cap daytime warming. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because the 48-hour forecast horizon reduces uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; a modest increase in afternoon insolation could push readings to 24 °C, while thicker low cloud would favor the lower end of the range. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 22 °C and 23 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$14,231Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range model guidance from the ECMWF, KNMI HARMONIE-AROME, and Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 22–23 °C in Amsterdam on 16 August under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. Stable high pressure near 1017 hPa limits strong advection of warmer continental air, while North Sea sea-surface temperatures near 18 °C cap daytime warming. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because the 48-hour forecast horizon reduces uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; a modest increase in afternoon insolation could push readings to 24 °C, while thicker low cloud would favor the lower end of the range. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 22 °C and 23 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$14,231Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range model guidance from the ECMWF, KNMI HARMONIE-AROME, and Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 22–23 °C in Amsterdam on 16 August under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. Stable high pressure near 1017 hPa limits strong advection of warmer continental air, while North Sea sea-surface temperatures near 18 °C cap daytime warming. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because the 48-hour forecast horizon reduces uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; a modest increase in afternoon insolation could push readings to 24 °C, while thicker low cloud would favor the lower end of the range. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 22 °C and 23 °C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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