Latest Met Office guidance for London on August 17 points to a minimum of 18°C under predominantly clear or sunny intervals, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18–19°C. High pressure has sustained above-average warmth, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling while the urban heat island effect raises baseline lows. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on subtle forecast variables: extent of cloud cover reducing heat loss, light wind speeds allowing stronger surface inversions, and precise humidity levels. Ensemble model spreads and local station variations introduce genuine uncertainty two days ahead, with traders assigning slight edge to 19°C amid stable synoptic patterns but watching for any last-minute shifts in Atlantic flow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 17 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 17 августа?
18°C 31%
19°C 27%
17°C 16%
20°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
16%
18°C
31%
19°C
36%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C или выше
<1%
18°C 31%
19°C 27%
17°C 16%
20°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
$45 Объем
<1%
14°C
$30 Объем
1%
15°C
$26 Объем
2%
16°C
$40 Объем
5%
17°C
$160 Объем
16%
18°C
$719 Объем
31%
19°C
$986 Объем
36%
20°C
$1,101 Объем
9%
21°C
$60 Объем
3%
22°C
$246 Объем
<1%
23°C или выше
$50 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance for London on August 17 points to a minimum of 18°C under predominantly clear or sunny intervals, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18–19°C. High pressure has sustained above-average warmth, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling while the urban heat island effect raises baseline lows. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on subtle forecast variables: extent of cloud cover reducing heat loss, light wind speeds allowing stronger surface inversions, and precise humidity levels. Ensemble model spreads and local station variations introduce genuine uncertainty two days ahead, with traders assigning slight edge to 19°C amid stable synoptic patterns but watching for any last-minute shifts in Atlantic flow.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$3,463Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance for London on August 17 points to a minimum of 18°C under predominantly clear or sunny intervals, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18–19°C. High pressure has sustained above-average warmth, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling while the urban heat island effect raises baseline lows. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on subtle forecast variables: extent of cloud cover reducing heat loss, light wind speeds allowing stronger surface inversions, and precise humidity levels. Ensemble model spreads and local station variations introduce genuine uncertainty two days ahead, with traders assigning slight edge to 19°C amid stable synoptic patterns but watching for any last-minute shifts in Atlantic flow.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,463Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance for London on August 17 points to a minimum of 18°C under predominantly clear or sunny intervals, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18–19°C. High pressure has sustained above-average warmth, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling while the urban heat island effect raises baseline lows. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on subtle forecast variables: extent of cloud cover reducing heat loss, light wind speeds allowing stronger surface inversions, and precise humidity levels. Ensemble model spreads and local station variations introduce genuine uncertainty two days ahead, with traders assigning slight edge to 19°C amid stable synoptic patterns but watching for any last-minute shifts in Atlantic flow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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