Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF points to a post-heatwave cooldown, with overnight radiative cooling limited by increased cloud cover and light winds ahead of possible showers on August 15-16. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering near 18-19°C, explaining the tight market split between those two bins. Ensemble spreads reflect lingering uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift minima by 1°C. Historical August lows average 15-16°C, but the current steering pattern favors milder conditions relative to that baseline. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours will likely refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 16 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 16 августа?
19°C 47%
18°C или ниже 42%
20°C 10%
21°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
42%
19°C
47%
20°C
10%
21°C
9%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C или выше
<1%
19°C 47%
18°C или ниже 42%
20°C 10%
21°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$1,453 Объем
42%
19°C
$409 Объем
47%
20°C
$56 Объем
10%
21°C
$517 Объем
9%
22°C
$36 Объем
4%
23°C
$53 Объем
1%
24°C
$15 Объем
<1%
25°C
$10 Объем
<1%
26°C
$10 Объем
<1%
27°C
$10 Объем
<1%
28°C или выше
$10 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF points to a post-heatwave cooldown, with overnight radiative cooling limited by increased cloud cover and light winds ahead of possible showers on August 15-16. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering near 18-19°C, explaining the tight market split between those two bins. Ensemble spreads reflect lingering uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift minima by 1°C. Historical August lows average 15-16°C, but the current steering pattern favors milder conditions relative to that baseline. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours will likely refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Объем
$2,580Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF points to a post-heatwave cooldown, with overnight radiative cooling limited by increased cloud cover and light winds ahead of possible showers on August 15-16. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering near 18-19°C, explaining the tight market split between those two bins. Ensemble spreads reflect lingering uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift minima by 1°C. Historical August lows average 15-16°C, but the current steering pattern favors milder conditions relative to that baseline. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours will likely refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,580Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF points to a post-heatwave cooldown, with overnight radiative cooling limited by increased cloud cover and light winds ahead of possible showers on August 15-16. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering near 18-19°C, explaining the tight market split between those two bins. Ensemble spreads reflect lingering uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift minima by 1°C. Historical August lows average 15-16°C, but the current steering pattern favors milder conditions relative to that baseline. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours will likely refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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