Latest meteorological guidance positions 14°C as the market leader for Wellington’s August 15 maximum because short-range models from MetService and international guidance converge on a mild winter day with highs near 14–15 °C under light variable winds and only isolated showers. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA confirm near-average temperatures for the region, consistent with typical August climatology of 13–14 °C. Recent model runs show little spread, keeping the 15 °C outcome as a plausible secondary outcome should daytime heating exceed expectations or winds turn northerly. Traders are weighting these consensus forecasts heavily, with only modest probability assigned to cooler or warmer extremes pending the next forecast update.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 15 августа?
14°C 54%
15°C 32%
13°C 7%
16°C 7%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
7%
14°C
54%
15°C
32%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 54%
15°C 32%
13°C 7%
16°C 7%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
7%
14°C
54%
15°C
32%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological guidance positions 14°C as the market leader for Wellington’s August 15 maximum because short-range models from MetService and international guidance converge on a mild winter day with highs near 14–15 °C under light variable winds and only isolated showers. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA confirm near-average temperatures for the region, consistent with typical August climatology of 13–14 °C. Recent model runs show little spread, keeping the 15 °C outcome as a plausible secondary outcome should daytime heating exceed expectations or winds turn northerly. Traders are weighting these consensus forecasts heavily, with only modest probability assigned to cooler or warmer extremes pending the next forecast update.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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