Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on August 17 point to a high near 101–103°F under mostly sunny skies with light winds and modest moisture, driving the market's leading 29% implied probability on 102–103°F. A strong upper-level ridge has sustained above-normal temperatures across central Texas this week, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate daytime heating. Historical August averages near 95–97°F provide baseline context, yet the current pattern favors continued warmth absent a stronger cold front or tropical moisture influx. Traders weigh slight model spread on peak readings and afternoon convective timing, with final National Weather Service observations determining resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 17 августа?
100-101°F 42%
102–103°F 36%
104-105°F 14%
106-107°F 11%
93°F или ниже
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
9%
100-101°F
44%
102–103°F
40%
104-105°F
14%
106-107°F
11%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
4%
112°F или выше
2%
100-101°F 42%
102–103°F 36%
104-105°F 14%
106-107°F 11%
93°F или ниже
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
9%
100-101°F
44%
102–103°F
40%
104-105°F
14%
106-107°F
11%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
4%
112°F или выше
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on August 17 point to a high near 101–103°F under mostly sunny skies with light winds and modest moisture, driving the market's leading 29% implied probability on 102–103°F. A strong upper-level ridge has sustained above-normal temperatures across central Texas this week, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate daytime heating. Historical August averages near 95–97°F provide baseline context, yet the current pattern favors continued warmth absent a stronger cold front or tropical moisture influx. Traders weigh slight model spread on peak readings and afternoon convective timing, with final National Weather Service observations determining resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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