Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a mostly sunny, hot pattern persisting across Central Texas on August 15, with forecast highs centered near 100–101°F amid a strong upper-level ridge and southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, when average daily maxima reach 96–99°F, while current dry conditions and limited cloud cover support the market’s heaviest trading on the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins. Minor model spread and slight steering uncertainties keep a modest probability on 98–99°F, but no significant frontal passage or moisture surge is expected before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 15 августа?
100-101°F 48%
102-103°F 22%
98-99°F 19%
104-105°F 6%
91°F или ниже
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
19%
100-101°F
48%
102-103°F
22%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F или выше
<1%
100-101°F 48%
102-103°F 22%
98-99°F 19%
104-105°F 6%
91°F или ниже
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
19%
100-101°F
48%
102-103°F
22%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a mostly sunny, hot pattern persisting across Central Texas on August 15, with forecast highs centered near 100–101°F amid a strong upper-level ridge and southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, when average daily maxima reach 96–99°F, while current dry conditions and limited cloud cover support the market’s heaviest trading on the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins. Minor model spread and slight steering uncertainties keep a modest probability on 98–99°F, but no significant frontal passage or moisture surge is expected before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы