Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to a peak temperature near 32–34°C on August 14, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and warm, moist air from the East Asian summer monsoon. Afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover associated with the remnants of Typhoon Dolphin and broader regional moisture are expected to limit extreme heating, keeping daily maxima close to long-term August averages of 32–33°C. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability tied to the timing of showers, which can suppress or briefly enhance surface temperatures depending on insolation. Trader sentiment clusters around these values because historical analogs and current ensemble guidance indicate low odds of either sustained clear skies pushing readings to 35°C+ or persistent rain capping them below 31°C. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 14 августа?
33°C 34%
32°C 23%
34°C 22%
35°C 10%
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
23%
33°C
34%
34°C
22%
35°C
10%
36°C
4%
37°C или выше
1%
33°C 34%
32°C 23%
34°C 22%
35°C 10%
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
23%
33°C
34%
34°C
22%
35°C
10%
36°C
4%
37°C или выше
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to a peak temperature near 32–34°C on August 14, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and warm, moist air from the East Asian summer monsoon. Afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover associated with the remnants of Typhoon Dolphin and broader regional moisture are expected to limit extreme heating, keeping daily maxima close to long-term August averages of 32–33°C. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability tied to the timing of showers, which can suppress or briefly enhance surface temperatures depending on insolation. Trader sentiment clusters around these values because historical analogs and current ensemble guidance indicate low odds of either sustained clear skies pushing readings to 35°C+ or persistent rain capping them below 31°C. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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