**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a high near 101°F for Austin on August 16 under typical mid-August conditions of high pressure, clear to mostly sunny skies, and light south-southeast winds.** This aligns with Austin’s climatological peak heat period, when average highs reach 99°F and daily maxima commonly enter the low 100s. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 100–101°F (56%) and 102–103°F (34%), while the smaller probabilities for 104–105°F or lower reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns. Official observations and heat-index values near 107°F further reinforce trader focus on the low-100s range without evidence of an extreme outlier event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 16 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 16 августа?
100-101°F 54%
102-103°F 35%
104-105°F 7%
98-99°F 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
54%
102-103°F
35%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 54%
102-103°F 35%
104-105°F 7%
98-99°F 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
93°F or below
$343 Объем
<1%
94-95°F
$227 Объем
<1%
96-97°F
$800 Объем
1%
98-99°F
$936 Объем
6%
100-101°F
$916 Объем
54%
102-103°F
$1,318 Объем
35%
104-105°F
$381 Объем
7%
106-107°F
$490 Объем
1%
108-109°F
$291 Объем
<1%
110-111°F
$1,482 Объем
<1%
112°F or higher
$288 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a high near 101°F for Austin on August 16 under typical mid-August conditions of high pressure, clear to mostly sunny skies, and light south-southeast winds.** This aligns with Austin’s climatological peak heat period, when average highs reach 99°F and daily maxima commonly enter the low 100s. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 100–101°F (56%) and 102–103°F (34%), while the smaller probabilities for 104–105°F or lower reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns. Official observations and heat-index values near 107°F further reinforce trader focus on the low-100s range without evidence of an extreme outlier event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Объем
$7,473Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a high near 101°F for Austin on August 16 under typical mid-August conditions of high pressure, clear to mostly sunny skies, and light south-southeast winds.** This aligns with Austin’s climatological peak heat period, when average highs reach 99°F and daily maxima commonly enter the low 100s. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 100–101°F (56%) and 102–103°F (34%), while the smaller probabilities for 104–105°F or lower reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns. Official observations and heat-index values near 107°F further reinforce trader focus on the low-100s range without evidence of an extreme outlier event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,473Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a high near 101°F for Austin on August 16 under typical mid-August conditions of high pressure, clear to mostly sunny skies, and light south-southeast winds.** This aligns with Austin’s climatological peak heat period, when average highs reach 99°F and daily maxima commonly enter the low 100s. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 100–101°F (56%) and 102–103°F (34%), while the smaller probabilities for 104–105°F or lower reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns. Official observations and heat-index values near 107°F further reinforce trader focus on the low-100s range without evidence of an extreme outlier event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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