Market icon
Политика·Трамп

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

Market icon
Политика·Трамп

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

25 - 30 minutes 43%

20 - 25 minutes 42%

30 - 35 minutes 42%

35+ minutes 42%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

25 - 30 minutes 43%

20 - 25 minutes 42%

30 - 35 minutes 42%

35+ minutes 42%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<15 minutes

$1 Объем

31%

15 - 20 minutes

$0 Объем

34%

20 - 25 minutes

$0 Объем

42%

25 - 30 minutes

$2 Объем

43%

30 - 35 minutes

$0 Объем

42%

35+ minutes

$0 Объем

42%

This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)Trader consensus on White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's arrival time to the next press briefing clusters tightly around 20-35 minutes late, mirroring her observed delays in recent sessions such as March 30 and 25 amid intense Iran-related diplomacy and troop deployments. This pattern, tracked via live streams and prior Polymarket resolutions, shows variability without a dominant bin, as preparation for breaking foreign policy questions or unscheduled executive inputs has consistently pushed starts into this window over the past two weeks. The even split reflects uncertainty in exact timing; separation could emerge from an on-time start signaling streamlined operations, extended delays due to last-minute briefings on Middle East escalations, or official schedule adjustments announced via her X account.

This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.

If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
Объем
$4
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 2:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)Trader consensus on White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's arrival time to the next press briefing clusters tightly around 20-35 minutes late, mirroring her observed delays in recent sessions such as March 30 and 25 amid intense Iran-related diplomacy and troop deployments. This pattern, tracked via live streams and prior Polymarket resolutions, shows variability without a dominant bin, as preparation for breaking foreign policy questions or unscheduled executive inputs has consistently pushed starts into this window over the past two weeks. The even split reflects uncertainty in exact timing; separation could emerge from an on-time start signaling streamlined operations, extended delays due to last-minute briefings on Middle East escalations, or official schedule adjustments announced via her X account.

This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.

If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
Объем
$4
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 2:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

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«How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «25 - 30 minutes» с 43%, за ним следует «20 - 25 minutes» с 42%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 43¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Mar 30, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

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Текущий фаворит для «How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?» — «25 - 30 minutes» с 43%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Следующий ближайший исход — «20 - 25 minutes» с 42%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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