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Политика·Упоминания

Who will Trump name in April?

Market icon
Политика·Упоминания

Who will Trump name in April?

НОВОЕ
30 апр. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$773 Объем

Polymarket

Netanyahu

$144 Объем

97%

Newsom / Newscum

$53 Объем

88%

Delcy

$36 Объем

72%

Caine

$7 Объем

71%

Khamenei / Khomeini

$120 Объем

83%

Maduro

$5 Объем

66%

Keir / Starmer

$38 Объем

80%

Emmanuel / Macron

$3 Объем

78%

Kushner

$36 Объем

77%

Kamala

$13 Объем

77%

Homan

$60 Объем

73%

Warsh

$3 Объем

68%

Gianni / Infantino

$102 Объем

68%

Oz

$0 Объем

67%

Ilhan / Omar

$6 Объем

75%

Schumer

$0 Объем

59%

Castro

$0 Объем

54%

Rand Paul

$0 Объем

54%

Massie

$0 Объем

54%

Leavitt

$0 Объем

53%

Elon / Musk

$0 Объем

53%

Leo XIV / Pope

$0 Объем

52%

Friedrich / Merz

$0 Объем

51%

Zohran / Mamdani

$45 Объем

63%

Warren / Pocahontas

$88 Объем

51%

Bush

$0 Объем

50%

Bernie

$0 Объем

47%

Machado

$0 Объем

46%

Hillary

$0 Объем

45%

Paxton

$0 Объем

44%

Kavanaugh

$0 Объем

43%

Talarico

$0 Объем

42%

Nicki / Minaj

$0 Объем

42%

Jensen / Huang

$0 Объем

38%

Bolsonaro

$0 Объем

34%

Zuckerberg

$7 Объем

39%

Viktor / Orbán

$6 Объем

54%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors President Trump verbally mentioning Netanyahu (90%+ implied probability) during April public appearances, propelled by his April 1 address on Iran amid Israel's declaration that Tehran no longer poses an existential threat following recent de-escalation signals. Elevated odds for California Gov. Newsom (76-88%) and former VP Kamala Harris (68-77%) reflect Trump's pattern of targeting Democratic figures in speeches, while Fed nominee Kevin Warsh (68-71%) gains from his March confirmation push amid economic policy debates. Probabilities for foreign leaders like Maduro (66%) and Delcy Rodriguez (71%) track ongoing Venezuela sanctions rhetoric. Easter events on April 1 and 6, plus cabinet meetings, loom as key catalysts for verbal references in audio/video statements.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Объем
$773
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors President Trump verbally mentioning Netanyahu (90%+ implied probability) during April public appearances, propelled by his April 1 address on Iran amid Israel's declaration that Tehran no longer poses an existential threat following recent de-escalation signals. Elevated odds for California Gov. Newsom (76-88%) and former VP Kamala Harris (68-77%) reflect Trump's pattern of targeting Democratic figures in speeches, while Fed nominee Kevin Warsh (68-71%) gains from his March confirmation push amid economic policy debates. Probabilities for foreign leaders like Maduro (66%) and Delcy Rodriguez (71%) track ongoing Venezuela sanctions rhetoric. Easter events on April 1 and 6, plus cabinet meetings, loom as key catalysts for verbal references in audio/video statements.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Объем
$773
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Who will Trump name in April?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 37 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Netanyahu» с 97%, за ним следует «Newsom / Newscum» с 88%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 97¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 97%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Who will Trump name in April?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Mar 30, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Who will Trump name in April?», просмотри 37 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Who will Trump name in April?» — «Netanyahu» с 97%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 97%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Newsom / Newscum» с 88%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Who will Trump name in April?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.