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Геополитика·корабль

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

Market icon
Геополитика·корабль

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

Mar 23

Mar 29

Mar 23

Mar 29

20-24 37%

30-34 18%

25-29 16%

35-39 16%

Polymarket
NEW

$14,649 Объем

20-24 37%

30-34 18%

25-29 16%

35-39 16%

Polymarket
NEW

$14,649 Объем

<10

$2,385 Объем

2%

10-14

$1,004 Объем

4%

15-19

$1,366 Объем

14%

20-24

$2,758 Объем

37%

25-29

$1,146 Объем

16%

30-34

$1,240 Объем

18%

35-39

$1,234 Объем

16%

40-44

$1,147 Объем

6%

45+

$2,369 Объем

5%

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 20-24 oil tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 23-29 (33.5%), mirroring the U.S. Energy Information Administration's (EIA) recent weekly data: 21 loaded vessels the week ending March 21, 18 the prior week, and a dip to 16 ending March 22 amid routine port delays and mild weather in the Persian Gulf. Lower bins like 15-19 (14%) gain traction from that recent downtick, while 25-29 (16%) reflects hopes for a rebound to the monthly average of around 20 amid stable shipping flows. No Iranian ship seizures, Strait closure threats, or Houthi spillover disruptions have emerged in the past week, with U.S. naval patrols ensuring security; early AIS tracker data through March 25 showing 4-5 daily tankers could solidify the leader if consistent, but sudden Tehran escalations or fog could shift support lower.

Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 20-24 oil tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 23-29 (33.5%), mirroring the U.S. Energy Information Administration's (EIA) recent weekly data: 21 loaded vessels the week ending March 21, 18 the prior week, and a dip to 16 ending March 22 amid routine port delays and mild weather in the Persian Gulf. Lower bins like 15-19 (14%) gain traction from that recent downtick, while 25-29 (16%) reflects hopes for a rebound to the monthly average of around 20 amid stable shipping flows. No Iranian ship seizures, Strait closure threats, or Houthi spillover disruptions have emerged in the past week, with U.S. naval patrols ensuring security; early AIS tracker data through March 25 showing 4-5 daily tankers could solidify the leader if consistent, but sudden Tehran escalations or fog could shift support lower.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 20-24 oil tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 23-29 (33.5%), mirroring the U.S. Energy Information Administration's (EIA) recent weekly data: 21 loaded vessels the week ending March 21, 18 the prior week, and a dip to 16 ending March 22 amid routine port delays and mild weather in the Persian Gulf. Lower bins like 15-19 (14%) gain traction from that recent downtick, while 25-29 (16%) reflects hopes for a rebound to the monthly average of around 20 amid stable shipping flows. No Iranian ship seizures, Strait closure threats, or Houthi spillover disruptions have emerged in the past week, with U.S. naval patrols ensuring security; early AIS tracker data through March 25 showing 4-5 daily tankers could solidify the leader if consistent, but sudden Tehran escalations or fog could shift support lower.

Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 20-24 oil tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 23-29 (33.5%), mirroring the U.S. Energy Information Administration's (EIA) recent weekly data: 21 loaded vessels the week ending March 21, 18 the prior week, and a dip to 16 ending March 22 amid routine port delays and mild weather in the Persian Gulf. Lower bins like 15-19 (14%) gain traction from that recent downtick, while 25-29 (16%) reflects hopes for a rebound to the monthly average of around 20 amid stable shipping flows. No Iranian ship seizures, Strait closure threats, or Houthi spillover disruptions have emerged in the past week, with U.S. naval patrols ensuring security; early AIS tracker data through March 25 showing 4-5 daily tankers could solidify the leader if consistent, but sudden Tehran escalations or fog could shift support lower.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 9 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «20-24» с 37%, за ним следует «30-34» с 18%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 37¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 37%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $14.6K с момента запуска рынка Mar 27, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)», просмотри 9 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)» — «20-24» с 37%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 37%. Следующий ближайший исход — «30-34» с 18%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.