Skip to main content
icon for Первичная маржа победы Демократического сената Иллинойса
Выборы·Первичные

Первичная маржа победы Демократического сената Иллинойса

icon for Первичная маржа победы Демократического сената Иллинойса
Выборы·Первичные

Первичная маржа победы Демократического сената Иллинойса

Страттон 6–9% 100.0%

Кришнамуорти 9%+ <1%

Кришнамурти 6–9% <1%

Кришнамурти 3–6% <1%

Polymarket

$27,646 Объем

Страттон 6–9% 100.0%

Кришнамуорти 9%+ <1%

Кришнамурти 6–9% <1%

Кришнамурти 3–6% <1%

Polymarket

$27,646 Объем

Кришнамуорти 9%+

$3,806 Объем

Нет

Кришнамурти 6–9%

$0 Объем

Нет

Кришнамурти 3–6%

$1,877 Объем

Нет

Кришнамурти <3%

$0 Объем

Нет

Страттон <3%

$3,360 Объем

Нет

Страттон 3–6%

$5,357 Объем

Нет

Страттон 6–9%

$8,501 Объем

Да

Страттон 9%+

$2,527 Объем

Нет

Другое

$2,219 Объем

Нет

The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket. If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured victory in Illinois's March 17, 2026, Democratic U.S. Senate primary for retiring Sen. Dick Durbin's open seat, capturing approximately 40% of the vote to Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi's 33%, a margin of 6.8–7.7 percentage points across final tallies from over 1.1 million ballots. Trader consensus reflects certified results from major outlets like the Associated Press and state canvass, confirming Stratton's edge through strong Chicago and downstate turnout bolstered by Gov. JB Pritzker's $10 million super PAC support, overcoming Krishnamoorthi's suburban strength and fundraising lead. Late polls showing Stratton's surge solidified pre-election positioning. Only an improbable recount altering thousands of votes could shift the 6–9% bin, with no disputes reported as of mid-April.

The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.

If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$27,646
Дата окончания
17 мар. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket. If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket. If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured victory in Illinois's March 17, 2026, Democratic U.S. Senate primary for retiring Sen. Dick Durbin's open seat, capturing approximately 40% of the vote to Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi's 33%, a margin of 6.8–7.7 percentage points across final tallies from over 1.1 million ballots. Trader consensus reflects certified results from major outlets like the Associated Press and state canvass, confirming Stratton's edge through strong Chicago and downstate turnout bolstered by Gov. JB Pritzker's $10 million super PAC support, overcoming Krishnamoorthi's suburban strength and fundraising lead. Late polls showing Stratton's surge solidified pre-election positioning. Only an improbable recount altering thousands of votes could shift the 6–9% bin, with no disputes reported as of mid-April.

The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.

If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$27,646
Дата окончания
17 мар. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket. If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Связанные

icon for Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 25%-30%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 25%-30%?

24%
icon for Выиграет ли Абдул Эль-Сайед праймериз Демократической партии в Сенат штата Мичиган с отрывом менее 5%?

Выиграет ли Абдул Эль-Сайед праймериз Демократической партии в Сенат штата Мичиган с отрывом менее 5%?

99%
Да
icon for Победит ли Пегги Флэнаган на праймериз Демократической партии в Сенат Миннесоты с преимуществом в 15–20%?

Победит ли Пегги Флэнаган на праймериз Демократической партии в Сенат Миннесоты с преимуществом в 15–20%?

98%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Первичная маржа победы Демократического сената Иллинойса» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 9 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Страттон 6–9%» с 100%, за ним следует «Кришнамуорти 9%+» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Первичная маржа победы Демократического сената Иллинойса» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $27.6K с момента запуска рынка Mar 17, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Первичная маржа победы Демократического сената Иллинойса», просмотри 9 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Первичная маржа победы Демократического сената Иллинойса» — «Страттон 6–9%» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Кришнамуорти 9%+» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Первичная маржа победы Демократического сената Иллинойса» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.