A fragile two-week ceasefire between the US, Israel, and Iran, announced on April 7-8 following six weeks of intense airstrikes that began February 28, remains in effect until around April 22 amid high tensions and mutual accusations of violations. Israel has continued military operations against Iranian-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon, claiming they fall outside the truce, while the US enforces a naval blockade of Iranian ports to curb arms flows and economic activity. Failed US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 12 have heightened risks, with Israeli forces on maximum readiness for potential strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure pending Washington approval. Today's Pentagon briefing highlighted ongoing war dynamics, as diplomatic efforts falter and ceasefire extension remains uncertain.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВоенные действия Израиля против Ирана с помощью...?
Военные действия Израиля против Ирана с помощью...?
$1,671,738 Объем
21 апр. 2026 г.
14 апреля
<1%
21 апреля
9%
$1,671,738 Объем
14 апреля
$1,177,045 Объем
<1%
21 апреля
$495,825 Объем
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.A fragile two-week ceasefire between the US, Israel, and Iran, announced on April 7-8 following six weeks of intense airstrikes that began February 28, remains in effect until around April 22 amid high tensions and mutual accusations of violations. Israel has continued military operations against Iranian-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon, claiming they fall outside the truce, while the US enforces a naval blockade of Iranian ports to curb arms flows and economic activity. Failed US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 12 have heightened risks, with Israeli forces on maximum readiness for potential strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure pending Washington approval. Today's Pentagon briefing highlighted ongoing war dynamics, as diplomatic efforts falter and ceasefire extension remains uncertain.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Открытие рынка: Apr 8, 2026, 11:35 AM ET
Объем
$1,671,738Дата окончания
21 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 11:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.A fragile two-week ceasefire between the US, Israel, and Iran, announced on April 7-8 following six weeks of intense airstrikes that began February 28, remains in effect until around April 22 amid high tensions and mutual accusations of violations. Israel has continued military operations against Iranian-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon, claiming they fall outside the truce, while the US enforces a naval blockade of Iranian ports to curb arms flows and economic activity. Failed US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 12 have heightened risks, with Israeli forces on maximum readiness for potential strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure pending Washington approval. Today's Pentagon briefing highlighted ongoing war dynamics, as diplomatic efforts falter and ceasefire extension remains uncertain.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Объем
$1,671,738Дата окончания
21 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 11:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A fragile two-week ceasefire between the US, Israel, and Iran, announced on April 7-8 following six weeks of intense airstrikes that began February 28, remains in effect until around April 22 amid high tensions and mutual accusations of violations. Israel has continued military operations against Iranian-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon, claiming they fall outside the truce, while the US enforces a naval blockade of Iranian ports to curb arms flows and economic activity. Failed US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 12 have heightened risks, with Israeli forces on maximum readiness for potential strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure pending Washington approval. Today's Pentagon briefing highlighted ongoing war dynamics, as diplomatic efforts falter and ceasefire extension remains uncertain.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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