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Большая маржа победы в праймериз демократов или республиканцев в Сенате Техаса?

Market icon

Большая маржа победы в праймериз демократов или республиканцев в Сенате Техаса?

Демократы

98% chance
Polymarket

$6,026 Объем

Демократы

98% chance
Polymarket

$6,026 Объем

Democratic and Republican Senate Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.

This market will resolve to “Dems” if the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate Primary is greater than the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate Primary.

This market will resolve to “GOP” if the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate Primary is greater than the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate Primary.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the margin of victory between the top two candidates in both primaries is exactly equal, or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$6,026
Дата окончания
Mar 3, 2026
Открытие рынка
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ET
Democratic and Republican Senate Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve to “Dems” if the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate Primary is greater than the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate Primary. This market will resolve to “GOP” if the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate Primary is greater than the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate Primary. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the margin of victory between the top two candidates in both primaries is exactly equal, or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Democratic and Republican Senate Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.

This market will resolve to “Dems” if the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate Primary is greater than the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate Primary.

This market will resolve to “GOP” if the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate Primary is greater than the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate Primary.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the margin of victory between the top two candidates in both primaries is exactly equal, or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$6,026
Дата окончания
Mar 3, 2026
Открытие рынка
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ET
Democratic and Republican Senate Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve to “Dems” if the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate Primary is greater than the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate Primary. This market will resolve to “GOP” if the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate Primary is greater than the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate Primary. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the margin of victory between the top two candidates in both primaries is exactly equal, or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Большая маржа победы в праймериз демократов или республиканцев в Сенате Техаса?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Кто одержит более убедительную победу на праймериз в Сенат штата Техас: демократы или республиканцы?» с 98%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 98¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Большая маржа победы в праймериз демократов или республиканцев в Сенате Техаса?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Feb 24, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Большая маржа победы в праймериз демократов или республиканцев в Сенате Техаса?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Большая маржа победы в праймериз демократов или республиканцев в Сенате Техаса?» — «Кто одержит более убедительную победу на праймериз в Сенат штата Техас: демократы или республиканцы?» с 98%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Большая маржа победы в праймериз демократов или республиканцев в Сенате Техаса?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.