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icon for Победитель выборов мэра Латроба

Победитель выборов мэра Латроба

icon for Победитель выборов мэра Латроба

Победитель выборов мэра Латроба

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Бретт Уайтли

Бретт Уайтли

$142 Объем

16%

icon for Питер Фрешни

Питер Фрешни

$412 Объем

2%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Latrobe Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Latrobe mayoral race remains fragmented ahead of Tasmania’s October local government elections, with trader pricing reflecting a wide-open field of candidates and limited clarity on frontrunners. Brett Whiteley’s 41% price draws from his prior state and federal political experience, while Peter Freshney’s 1.4% reflects uncertainty over his intentions after indicating in February that he was still weighing another run amid council leadership transitions. The broad distribution of even pricing across numerous entrants signals no dominant contender has emerged, consistent with historical patterns in multi-candidate Tasmanian council contests where turnout, local issues such as infrastructure and economic development, and late nominations can shift momentum. Key upcoming catalysts include candidate nominations, any formal announcements from sitting councillors, and early campaign activity that could consolidate support or highlight vote-splitting risks.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Latrobe Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Объем
$553
Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Latrobe Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Latrobe Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Latrobe mayoral race remains fragmented ahead of Tasmania’s October local government elections, with trader pricing reflecting a wide-open field of candidates and limited clarity on frontrunners. Brett Whiteley’s 41% price draws from his prior state and federal political experience, while Peter Freshney’s 1.4% reflects uncertainty over his intentions after indicating in February that he was still weighing another run amid council leadership transitions. The broad distribution of even pricing across numerous entrants signals no dominant contender has emerged, consistent with historical patterns in multi-candidate Tasmanian council contests where turnout, local issues such as infrastructure and economic development, and late nominations can shift momentum. Key upcoming catalysts include candidate nominations, any formal announcements from sitting councillors, and early campaign activity that could consolidate support or highlight vote-splitting risks.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Latrobe Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Объем
$553
Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Latrobe Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов мэра Латроба» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Бретт Уайтли» с 16%, за ним следует «Питер Фрешни» с 2%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 16¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 16%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов мэра Латроба» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Sep 3, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов мэра Латроба», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов мэра Латроба» — «Бретт Уайтли» с 16%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 16%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Питер Фрешни» с 2%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов мэра Латроба» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.