Skip to main content

Чтобы торговать в США, перейдите на polymarket.us

icon for Победитель выборов мэра Лонсестона

Победитель выборов мэра Лонсестона

icon for Победитель выборов мэра Лонсестона

Победитель выборов мэра Лонсестона

Мэттью Гарвуд 54%

Роуз Даймонд 20%

Кайл Барретт 18%

Тим Уокер 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Мэттью Гарвуд 54%

Роуз Даймонд 20%

Кайл Барретт 18%

Тим Уокер 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Мэттью Гарвуд

Мэттью Гарвуд

$0 Объем

54%

icon for Роуз Даймонд

Роуз Даймонд

$0 Объем

20%

icon for Кайл Барретт

Кайл Барретт

$0 Объем

18%

icon for Тим Уокер

Тим Уокер

$0 Объем

11%

icon for Пол Маллэтт

Пол Маллэтт

$0 Объем

7%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Launceston mayoral race stays tightly contested ahead of nominations opening on September 7, with incumbent Matthew Garwood holding a modest edge in trader pricing over a broad field that includes sitting councillor Tim Walker, real estate agent Kyle Barrett, and others. Garwood benefits from name recognition and incumbency in the preferential voting system, yet recent council turbulence—including budget disputes, resignations, and public controversies—has kept sentiment balanced. Multiple independents are expected to nominate before the September 21 close, with compulsory postal voting scheduled for October 27. This open field and preference flows limit any single candidate's separation until the ballot is finalized.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Launceston mayoral race stays tightly contested ahead of nominations opening on September 7, with incumbent Matthew Garwood holding a modest edge in trader pricing over a broad field that includes sitting councillor Tim Walker, real estate agent Kyle Barrett, and others. Garwood benefits from name recognition and incumbency in the preferential voting system, yet recent council turbulence—including budget disputes, resignations, and public controversies—has kept sentiment balanced. Multiple independents are expected to nominate before the September 21 close, with compulsory postal voting scheduled for October 27. This open field and preference flows limit any single candidate's separation until the ballot is finalized.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов мэра Лонсестона» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Мэттью Гарвуд» с 54%, за ним следует «Роуз Даймонд» с 20%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 54¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов мэра Лонсестона» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Sep 3, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов мэра Лонсестона», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов мэра Лонсестона» — «Мэттью Гарвуд» с 54%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Роуз Даймонд» с 20%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов мэра Лонсестона» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.