Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts points to overnight lows in Amsterdam on September 23 around 12–15°C, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This setup keeps minimum temperatures well above the long-term average low of roughly 10°C while falling short of the 17°C threshold. The near-even market odds between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes reflect uncertainty in how much additional cooling could occur under clearer breaks or if a stronger high-pressure ridge builds. Updated ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether winds and moisture levels shift the overnight minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Амстердаме 23 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Амстердаме 23 сентября?
7°C или ниже 99%
17°C или выше 97%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
99%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
22%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C или выше
97%
7°C или ниже 99%
17°C или выше 97%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
$0 Объем
99%
8°C
$0 Объем
39%
9°C
$0 Объем
39%
10°C
$0 Объем
39%
11°C
$0 Объем
39%
12°C
$0 Объем
40%
13°C
$0 Объем
40%
14°C
$0 Объем
22%
15°C
$0 Объем
39%
16°C
$0 Объем
39%
17°C или выше
$0 Объем
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts points to overnight lows in Amsterdam on September 23 around 12–15°C, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This setup keeps minimum temperatures well above the long-term average low of roughly 10°C while falling short of the 17°C threshold. The near-even market odds between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes reflect uncertainty in how much additional cooling could occur under clearer breaks or if a stronger high-pressure ridge builds. Updated ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether winds and moisture levels shift the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
23 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts points to overnight lows in Amsterdam on September 23 around 12–15°C, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This setup keeps minimum temperatures well above the long-term average low of roughly 10°C while falling short of the 17°C threshold. The near-even market odds between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes reflect uncertainty in how much additional cooling could occur under clearer breaks or if a stronger high-pressure ridge builds. Updated ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether winds and moisture levels shift the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
23 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts points to overnight lows in Amsterdam on September 23 around 12–15°C, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This setup keeps minimum temperatures well above the long-term average low of roughly 10°C while falling short of the 17°C threshold. The near-even market odds between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes reflect uncertainty in how much additional cooling could occur under clearer breaks or if a stronger high-pressure ridge builds. Updated ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether winds and moisture levels shift the overnight minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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