Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to a Beijing minimum near 18–19 °C on September 17 under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. This places the outcome near the center of the tightly bunched market probabilities, where 17 °C, 18 °C, and nearby bins each carry roughly one-quarter implied probability. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in low-level moisture, wind speed after sunset, and the precise timing of any thin cloud deck, all of which can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and updated high-resolution runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range before the market resolves.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Пекине 17 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Пекине 17 сентября?
24°C или выше 43%
16°C 40%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
36%
15°C
27%
16°C
40%
17°C
27%
18°C
25%
19°C
12%
20°C
13%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C или выше
43%
24°C или выше 43%
16°C 40%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
$0 Объем
36%
15°C
$0 Объем
27%
16°C
$0 Объем
40%
17°C
$0 Объем
27%
18°C
$0 Объем
25%
19°C
$98 Объем
12%
20°C
$132 Объем
13%
21°C
$0 Объем
39%
22°C
$0 Объем
39%
23°C
$0 Объем
39%
24°C или выше
$0 Объем
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to a Beijing minimum near 18–19 °C on September 17 under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. This places the outcome near the center of the tightly bunched market probabilities, where 17 °C, 18 °C, and nearby bins each carry roughly one-quarter implied probability. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in low-level moisture, wind speed after sunset, and the precise timing of any thin cloud deck, all of which can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and updated high-resolution runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$230Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to a Beijing minimum near 18–19 °C on September 17 under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. This places the outcome near the center of the tightly bunched market probabilities, where 17 °C, 18 °C, and nearby bins each carry roughly one-quarter implied probability. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in low-level moisture, wind speed after sunset, and the precise timing of any thin cloud deck, all of which can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and updated high-resolution runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$230Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to a Beijing minimum near 18–19 °C on September 17 under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. This places the outcome near the center of the tightly bunched market probabilities, where 17 °C, 18 °C, and nearby bins each carry roughly one-quarter implied probability. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in low-level moisture, wind speed after sunset, and the precise timing of any thin cloud deck, all of which can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and updated high-resolution runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range before the market resolves.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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