Current forecasts from global models indicate Beijing's overnight low on September 15 will likely fall in the 17–20°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–32°C. Mid-September climatology shows average lows near 16°C with a historical record low of 7.6°C, but recent September conditions have trended warmer than normal amid weak cold-front activity and limited moisture. Trader consensus remains diffuse across bins because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects can alter the minimum by several degrees, while model spreads and the short lead time sustain comparable implied probabilities for both sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution criteria ahead of the overnight period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Пекине 15 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Пекине 15 сентября?
9°C или ниже 64%
19°C или выше 64%
14°C 40%
18°C 37%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
64%
10°C
9%
11°C
5%
12°C
22%
13°C
22%
14°C
30%
15°C
22%
16°C
21%
17°C
19%
18°C
37%
19°C или выше
64%
9°C или ниже 64%
19°C или выше 64%
14°C 40%
18°C 37%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$10 Объем
64%
10°C
$30 Объем
9%
11°C
$0 Объем
5%
12°C
$0 Объем
22%
13°C
$0 Объем
22%
14°C
$3 Объем
30%
15°C
$0 Объем
22%
16°C
$0 Объем
21%
17°C
$50 Объем
19%
18°C
$10 Объем
37%
19°C или выше
$10 Объем
64%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global models indicate Beijing's overnight low on September 15 will likely fall in the 17–20°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–32°C. Mid-September climatology shows average lows near 16°C with a historical record low of 7.6°C, but recent September conditions have trended warmer than normal amid weak cold-front activity and limited moisture. Trader consensus remains diffuse across bins because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects can alter the minimum by several degrees, while model spreads and the short lead time sustain comparable implied probabilities for both sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution criteria ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Объем
$113Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global models indicate Beijing's overnight low on September 15 will likely fall in the 17–20°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–32°C. Mid-September climatology shows average lows near 16°C with a historical record low of 7.6°C, but recent September conditions have trended warmer than normal amid weak cold-front activity and limited moisture. Trader consensus remains diffuse across bins because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects can alter the minimum by several degrees, while model spreads and the short lead time sustain comparable implied probabilities for both sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution criteria ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$113Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from global models indicate Beijing's overnight low on September 15 will likely fall in the 17–20°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–32°C. Mid-September climatology shows average lows near 16°C with a historical record low of 7.6°C, but recent September conditions have trended warmer than normal amid weak cold-front activity and limited moisture. Trader consensus remains diffuse across bins because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects can alter the minimum by several degrees, while model spreads and the short lead time sustain comparable implied probabilities for both sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution criteria ahead of the overnight period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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