**Trader sentiment for Buenos Aires' September 24 minimum temperature remains closely split, with 7°C or below and 17°C or higher each commanding roughly 40% implied probability.** Recent northerly winds have driven a warming trend after mid-September cold anomalies, including record-low readings near 2–3°C earlier in the month. Official forecasts from sources like the SMN and ECMWF point to overnight lows of 11–14°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow, consistent with spring climatology where daily minima average 8–12°C. However, model spread on cloud cover, wind shifts, or a possible late frontal passage sustains meaningful probability for either sharper radiational cooling or warmer advection. Upcoming 00z and 12z model runs, plus local observations overnight, will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 24 сентября?
17°C или выше 90%
7°C или ниже 79%
12°C 27%
11°C 24%
7°C или ниже
79%
8°C
7%
9°C
18%
10°C
23%
11°C
24%
12°C
27%
13°C
18%
14°C
11%
15°C
17%
16°C
13%
17°C или выше
90%
17°C или выше 90%
7°C или ниже 79%
12°C 27%
11°C 24%
7°C или ниже
79%
8°C
7%
9°C
18%
10°C
23%
11°C
24%
12°C
27%
13°C
18%
14°C
11%
15°C
17%
16°C
13%
17°C или выше
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Buenos Aires' September 24 minimum temperature remains closely split, with 7°C or below and 17°C or higher each commanding roughly 40% implied probability.** Recent northerly winds have driven a warming trend after mid-September cold anomalies, including record-low readings near 2–3°C earlier in the month. Official forecasts from sources like the SMN and ECMWF point to overnight lows of 11–14°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow, consistent with spring climatology where daily minima average 8–12°C. However, model spread on cloud cover, wind shifts, or a possible late frontal passage sustains meaningful probability for either sharper radiational cooling or warmer advection. Upcoming 00z and 12z model runs, plus local observations overnight, will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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