**Persistent late-summer heat and limited overnight cooling are positioning Dallas nighttime lows in the low-to-mid 80s °F range for August 26, 2026, driving the highest market-implied probabilities toward the 84-85 °F (55%) and 86-87 °F (38%) bins.** Official National Weather Service and model guidance as of August 25 show a strong ridge of high pressure maintaining southerly to southwesterly flow, with daytime highs near 104–105 °F and heat indices exceeding 109 °F. This traps residual heat, limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds shifting southwest after midnight. Forecast overnight lows cluster around 81 °F (upper 70s to low 80s in some runs), well above the late-August climatological average of ~76 °F. Recent trends show an ongoing heat wave with minimal precipitation chances (under 20% late on the 26th) and no incoming cold front to enhance cooling. Traders appear to weigh the consensus from NWS, local observations, and ensemble consistency, which favors the 80–87 °F window while assigning lower odds to sub-80 °F outcomes or extreme spikes above 90 °F. Model updates and any shift in wind or cloud cover ahead of resolution remain key variables.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Далласе 26 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Далласе 26 августа?
98°F или выше 59%
84-85°F 56%
82-83°F 35%
86-87°F 34%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
79°F или ниже
26%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
56%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
28%
90-91°F
28%
92-93°F
26%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
7%
98°F или выше
59%
98°F или выше 59%
84-85°F 56%
82-83°F 35%
86-87°F 34%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
79°F или ниже
$0 Объем
26%
80-81°F
$0 Объем
30%
82-83°F
$0 Объем
35%
84-85°F
$0 Объем
56%
86-87°F
$0 Объем
34%
88-89°F
$0 Объем
28%
90-91°F
$4 Объем
28%
92-93°F
$15 Объем
26%
94-95°F
$5 Объем
11%
96-97°F
$5 Объем
7%
98°F или выше
$130 Объем
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent late-summer heat and limited overnight cooling are positioning Dallas nighttime lows in the low-to-mid 80s °F range for August 26, 2026, driving the highest market-implied probabilities toward the 84-85 °F (55%) and 86-87 °F (38%) bins.**
Official National Weather Service and model guidance as of August 25 show a strong ridge of high pressure maintaining southerly to southwesterly flow, with daytime highs near 104–105 °F and heat indices exceeding 109 °F. This traps residual heat, limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds shifting southwest after midnight. Forecast overnight lows cluster around 81 °F (upper 70s to low 80s in some runs), well above the late-August climatological average of ~76 °F.
Recent trends show an ongoing heat wave with minimal precipitation chances (under 20% late on the 26th) and no incoming cold front to enhance cooling. Traders appear to weigh the consensus from NWS, local observations, and ensemble consistency, which favors the 80–87 °F window while assigning lower odds to sub-80 °F outcomes or extreme spikes above 90 °F. Model updates and any shift in wind or cloud cover ahead of resolution remain key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Объем
$159Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent late-summer heat and limited overnight cooling are positioning Dallas nighttime lows in the low-to-mid 80s °F range for August 26, 2026, driving the highest market-implied probabilities toward the 84-85 °F (55%) and 86-87 °F (38%) bins.**
Official National Weather Service and model guidance as of August 25 show a strong ridge of high pressure maintaining southerly to southwesterly flow, with daytime highs near 104–105 °F and heat indices exceeding 109 °F. This traps residual heat, limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds shifting southwest after midnight. Forecast overnight lows cluster around 81 °F (upper 70s to low 80s in some runs), well above the late-August climatological average of ~76 °F.
Recent trends show an ongoing heat wave with minimal precipitation chances (under 20% late on the 26th) and no incoming cold front to enhance cooling. Traders appear to weigh the consensus from NWS, local observations, and ensemble consistency, which favors the 80–87 °F window while assigning lower odds to sub-80 °F outcomes or extreme spikes above 90 °F. Model updates and any shift in wind or cloud cover ahead of resolution remain key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$159Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent late-summer heat and limited overnight cooling are positioning Dallas nighttime lows in the low-to-mid 80s °F range for August 26, 2026, driving the highest market-implied probabilities toward the 84-85 °F (55%) and 86-87 °F (38%) bins.** Official National Weather Service and model guidance as of August 25 show a strong ridge of high pressure maintaining southerly to southwesterly flow, with daytime highs near 104–105 °F and heat indices exceeding 109 °F. This traps residual heat, limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds shifting southwest after midnight. Forecast overnight lows cluster around 81 °F (upper 70s to low 80s in some runs), well above the late-August climatological average of ~76 °F. Recent trends show an ongoing heat wave with minimal precipitation chances (under 20% late on the 26th) and no incoming cold front to enhance cooling. Traders appear to weigh the consensus from NWS, local observations, and ensemble consistency, which favors the 80–87 °F window while assigning lower odds to sub-80 °F outcomes or extreme spikes above 90 °F. Model updates and any shift in wind or cloud cover ahead of resolution remain key variables.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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