Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Guangzhou on September 25 around 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and moderate humidity, consistent with late-September subtropical patterns lacking any incoming cool air mass or frontal passage. This supports the close market split between a 30°C-or-higher minimum and 20°C-or-below outcomes, as small variations in cloud cover, urban heat retention, or model bias in radiative cooling could shift the official station reading by several degrees either way. Historical September 25 lows average near 23°C but have trended warmer recently, while upcoming updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the precise threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 25 сентября?
20°C или ниже 83%
30°C или выше 77%
21°C 39%
23°C 39%
20°C или ниже
83%
21°C
39%
22°C
38%
23°C
39%
24°C
38%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
30%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C или выше
77%
20°C или ниже 83%
30°C или выше 77%
21°C 39%
23°C 39%
20°C или ниже
83%
21°C
39%
22°C
38%
23°C
39%
24°C
38%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
30%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C или выше
77%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Guangzhou on September 25 around 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and moderate humidity, consistent with late-September subtropical patterns lacking any incoming cool air mass or frontal passage. This supports the close market split between a 30°C-or-higher minimum and 20°C-or-below outcomes, as small variations in cloud cover, urban heat retention, or model bias in radiative cooling could shift the official station reading by several degrees either way. Historical September 25 lows average near 23°C but have trended warmer recently, while upcoming updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the precise threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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