Current ensemble forecasts for Guangzhou on September 24 indicate minimum temperatures most likely in the mid-20s°C, supported by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration shows no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling that would push lows toward 20°C or below, while daytime maxima near 32–33°C make 30°C+ unlikely for the daily minimum. Historical September 24 averages near 23.4°C provide context, yet variable precipitation timing and cloud cover introduce enough forecast spread to balance trader sentiment across moderate bins like 25–27°C and the closely matched extreme outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 24 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 24 сентября?
20°C или ниже 99%
30°C или выше 98%
25°C 40%
21°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
99%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
21%
27°C
21%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C или выше
98%
20°C или ниже 99%
30°C или выше 98%
25°C 40%
21°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$0 Объем
99%
21°C
$0 Объем
39%
22°C
$0 Объем
39%
23°C
$0 Объем
39%
24°C
$0 Объем
39%
25°C
$0 Объем
40%
26°C
$0 Объем
21%
27°C
$0 Объем
21%
28°C
$0 Объем
39%
29°C
$0 Объем
39%
30°C или выше
$0 Объем
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Guangzhou on September 24 indicate minimum temperatures most likely in the mid-20s°C, supported by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration shows no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling that would push lows toward 20°C or below, while daytime maxima near 32–33°C make 30°C+ unlikely for the daily minimum. Historical September 24 averages near 23.4°C provide context, yet variable precipitation timing and cloud cover introduce enough forecast spread to balance trader sentiment across moderate bins like 25–27°C and the closely matched extreme outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
24 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Guangzhou on September 24 indicate minimum temperatures most likely in the mid-20s°C, supported by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration shows no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling that would push lows toward 20°C or below, while daytime maxima near 32–33°C make 30°C+ unlikely for the daily minimum. Historical September 24 averages near 23.4°C provide context, yet variable precipitation timing and cloud cover introduce enough forecast spread to balance trader sentiment across moderate bins like 25–27°C and the closely matched extreme outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
24 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts for Guangzhou on September 24 indicate minimum temperatures most likely in the mid-20s°C, supported by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration shows no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling that would push lows toward 20°C or below, while daytime maxima near 32–33°C make 30°C+ unlikely for the daily minimum. Historical September 24 averages near 23.4°C provide context, yet variable precipitation timing and cloud cover introduce enough forecast spread to balance trader sentiment across moderate bins like 25–27°C and the closely matched extreme outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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