Mild Atlantic airflow and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping London's minimum temperature elevated for September 15. Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows near 14°C under light westerly winds, yet recent model runs and surface observations suggest the actual daily minimum may stabilize closer to 16–17°C due to urban heat retention and incomplete clearing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 17°C and 37.5% for 16°C, aligns with this uncertainty range ahead of final station verification, while lower outcomes carry minimal weight given the current thermal profile.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 15 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 15 сентября?
17°C 100.0%
11°C или ниже <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$6,459 Объем
$6,459 Объем
15 сент. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Да
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C или выше
Нет
17°C 100.0%
11°C или ниже <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$6,459 Объем
$6,459 Объем
15 сент. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
$239 Объем
Нет
12°C
$131 Объем
Нет
13°C
$401 Объем
Нет
14°C
$442 Объем
Нет
15°C
$1,793 Объем
Нет
16°C
$1,029 Объем
Нет
17°C
$1,440 Объем
Да
18°C
$510 Объем
Нет
19°C
$389 Объем
Нет
20°C
$65 Объем
Нет
21°C или выше
$20 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mild Atlantic airflow and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping London's minimum temperature elevated for September 15. Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows near 14°C under light westerly winds, yet recent model runs and surface observations suggest the actual daily minimum may stabilize closer to 16–17°C due to urban heat retention and incomplete clearing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 17°C and 37.5% for 16°C, aligns with this uncertainty range ahead of final station verification, while lower outcomes carry minimal weight given the current thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Объем
$6,459Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mild Atlantic airflow and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping London's minimum temperature elevated for September 15. Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows near 14°C under light westerly winds, yet recent model runs and surface observations suggest the actual daily minimum may stabilize closer to 16–17°C due to urban heat retention and incomplete clearing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 17°C and 37.5% for 16°C, aligns with this uncertainty range ahead of final station verification, while lower outcomes carry minimal weight given the current thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,459Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Mild Atlantic airflow and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping London's minimum temperature elevated for September 15. Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows near 14°C under light westerly winds, yet recent model runs and surface observations suggest the actual daily minimum may stabilize closer to 16–17°C due to urban heat retention and incomplete clearing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 17°C and 37.5% for 16°C, aligns with this uncertainty range ahead of final station verification, while lower outcomes carry minimal weight given the current thermal profile.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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