Recent European weather model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to clear skies and light northerly flow over central Spain on September 8, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling and an implied 87% trader probability for a Madrid minimum of 21°C or below. Official AEMET guidance and station climatology place typical early-September overnight lows near 16–18°C, with current 48-hour forecasts converging on 19–20°C under stable high pressure. Limited model spread and the absence of incoming moisture or southerly advection reinforce the strong market tilt toward the lower threshold, though any last-minute shift in steering winds could introduce modest upward revision before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мадриде 8 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Мадриде 8 сентября?
21°C или ниже 89%
22°C 47%
23°C 16%
25°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
89%
22°C
47%
23°C
16%
24°C
1%
25°C
16%
26°C
16%
27°C
15%
28°C
15%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C или выше
1%
21°C или ниже 89%
22°C 47%
23°C 16%
25°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$0 Объем
89%
22°C
$0 Объем
47%
23°C
$0 Объем
16%
24°C
$0 Объем
1%
25°C
$0 Объем
16%
26°C
$0 Объем
16%
27°C
$0 Объем
15%
28°C
$0 Объем
15%
29°C
$0 Объем
8%
30°C
$0 Объем
1%
31°C или выше
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European weather model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to clear skies and light northerly flow over central Spain on September 8, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling and an implied 87% trader probability for a Madrid minimum of 21°C or below. Official AEMET guidance and station climatology place typical early-September overnight lows near 16–18°C, with current 48-hour forecasts converging on 19–20°C under stable high pressure. Limited model spread and the absence of incoming moisture or southerly advection reinforce the strong market tilt toward the lower threshold, though any last-minute shift in steering winds could introduce modest upward revision before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
8 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European weather model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to clear skies and light northerly flow over central Spain on September 8, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling and an implied 87% trader probability for a Madrid minimum of 21°C or below. Official AEMET guidance and station climatology place typical early-September overnight lows near 16–18°C, with current 48-hour forecasts converging on 19–20°C under stable high pressure. Limited model spread and the absence of incoming moisture or southerly advection reinforce the strong market tilt toward the lower threshold, though any last-minute shift in steering winds could introduce modest upward revision before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
8 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent European weather model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to clear skies and light northerly flow over central Spain on September 8, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling and an implied 87% trader probability for a Madrid minimum of 21°C or below. Official AEMET guidance and station climatology place typical early-September overnight lows near 16–18°C, with current 48-hour forecasts converging on 19–20°C under stable high pressure. Limited model spread and the absence of incoming moisture or southerly advection reinforce the strong market tilt toward the lower threshold, though any last-minute shift in steering winds could introduce modest upward revision before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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