Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Madrid on September 6 remains closely balanced near 50% implied probability for both 31°C or higher and 21°C or below, reflecting model uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under a persistent warm air mass. Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate daytime highs near 36–37°C with minimums likely settling around 21–23°C due to light winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited nocturnal heat loss, consistent with late-summer patterns rather than historical September averages near 17°C. Key variables include slight shifts in cloud cover or wind that could alter the minimum by 1–2°C, with fresh model runs and official AEMET observations expected within 48 hours to refine resolution criteria.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мадриде 6 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Мадриде 6 сентября?
31°C или выше 100%
21°C или ниже 49%
24°C 40%
25°C 36%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
49%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
40%
25°C
36%
26°C
2%
27°C
35%
28°C
35%
29°C
36%
30°C
35%
31°C или выше
100%
31°C или выше 100%
21°C или ниже 49%
24°C 40%
25°C 36%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$0 Объем
49%
22°C
$0 Объем
27%
23°C
$0 Объем
27%
24°C
$0 Объем
40%
25°C
$0 Объем
36%
26°C
$0 Объем
2%
27°C
$0 Объем
35%
28°C
$0 Объем
35%
29°C
$0 Объем
36%
30°C
$0 Объем
35%
31°C или выше
$0 Объем
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Madrid on September 6 remains closely balanced near 50% implied probability for both 31°C or higher and 21°C or below, reflecting model uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under a persistent warm air mass. Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate daytime highs near 36–37°C with minimums likely settling around 21–23°C due to light winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited nocturnal heat loss, consistent with late-summer patterns rather than historical September averages near 17°C. Key variables include slight shifts in cloud cover or wind that could alter the minimum by 1–2°C, with fresh model runs and official AEMET observations expected within 48 hours to refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Madrid on September 6 remains closely balanced near 50% implied probability for both 31°C or higher and 21°C or below, reflecting model uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under a persistent warm air mass. Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate daytime highs near 36–37°C with minimums likely settling around 21–23°C due to light winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited nocturnal heat loss, consistent with late-summer patterns rather than historical September averages near 17°C. Key variables include slight shifts in cloud cover or wind that could alter the minimum by 1–2°C, with fresh model runs and official AEMET observations expected within 48 hours to refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Madrid on September 6 remains closely balanced near 50% implied probability for both 31°C or higher and 21°C or below, reflecting model uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under a persistent warm air mass. Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate daytime highs near 36–37°C with minimums likely settling around 21–23°C due to light winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited nocturnal heat loss, consistent with late-summer patterns rather than historical September averages near 17°C. Key variables include slight shifts in cloud cover or wind that could alter the minimum by 1–2°C, with fresh model runs and official AEMET observations expected within 48 hours to refine resolution criteria.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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