Forecast models from NOAA and NWS indicate overnight lows in Miami on September 21 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 70s, driven by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with seasonal norms, where the 1991–2020 average low for the date is 76.7°F, and recent observations show similar overnight readings near 75–78°F amid light variable winds. No cold fronts or unusual steering patterns are present to push temperatures lower, while thunderstorm activity may prevent extremes above 79°F. Traders appear to weigh these stable guidance runs heavily, with implied probabilities favoring 74–77°F bins as resolution approaches via official Miami observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Майами 21 сентября?
76-77°F 45%
74-75°F 32%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 17%
69°F или ниже
<1%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
45%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F или выше
<1%
76-77°F 45%
74-75°F 32%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 17%
69°F или ниже
<1%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
45%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA and NWS indicate overnight lows in Miami on September 21 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 70s, driven by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with seasonal norms, where the 1991–2020 average low for the date is 76.7°F, and recent observations show similar overnight readings near 75–78°F amid light variable winds. No cold fronts or unusual steering patterns are present to push temperatures lower, while thunderstorm activity may prevent extremes above 79°F. Traders appear to weigh these stable guidance runs heavily, with implied probabilities favoring 74–77°F bins as resolution approaches via official Miami observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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