Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show Milan’s minimum temperature on September 22 likely near 18–19°C under partly cloudy conditions with light easterly flow and dew points supporting modest nocturnal cooling. The near-even market split between 12°C-or-below (47.5%) and 22°C-or-higher (47%) stems from sensitivity of the overnight low to small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture; clearer skies would enhance radiative cooling toward lower teens while persistent clouds or advection would keep readings warmer. Historical September minima average near 15°C, yet current guidance favors milder values with limited spread across ensemble members. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will clarify whether the Po Valley’s typical autumn transition accelerates cooling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Милане 22 сентября?
12°C или ниже 93%
22°C или выше 92%
16°C 40%
15°C 38%
12°C или ниже
93%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
38%
16°C
40%
17°C
25%
18°C
38%
19°C
37%
20°C
37%
21°C
19%
22°C или выше
92%
12°C или ниже 93%
22°C или выше 92%
16°C 40%
15°C 38%
12°C или ниже
93%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
38%
16°C
40%
17°C
25%
18°C
38%
19°C
37%
20°C
37%
21°C
19%
22°C или выше
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show Milan’s minimum temperature on September 22 likely near 18–19°C under partly cloudy conditions with light easterly flow and dew points supporting modest nocturnal cooling. The near-even market split between 12°C-or-below (47.5%) and 22°C-or-higher (47%) stems from sensitivity of the overnight low to small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture; clearer skies would enhance radiative cooling toward lower teens while persistent clouds or advection would keep readings warmer. Historical September minima average near 15°C, yet current guidance favors milder values with limited spread across ensemble members. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will clarify whether the Po Valley’s typical autumn transition accelerates cooling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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