Forecast model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst show closely clustered minimum temperature projections for Munich on August 27, with the 12–16 °C range carrying the bulk of implied probability due to modest uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. A weak high-pressure ridge currently steering drier air across southern Germany favors clearer skies that enhance nighttime heat loss, yet any increase in low-level cloud cover or a slight shift in wind direction from the northwest could raise the low by 2–3 °C. Historical late-August climatology places typical Munich lows near 13–15 °C, providing a baseline against which small forecast perturbations are being priced. Traders are monitoring the next 12–18 hour model runs and surface observations for clearer signals on cloud trends and 2-meter temperature trends ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мюнхене 27 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 27 августа?
16°C 26%
13°C 25%
15°C 25%
12°C 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 авг. 2026 г.
10°C or below
17%
11°C
16%
12°C
25%
13°C
25%
14°C
21%
15°C
25%
16°C
26%
17°C
10%
18°C
16%
19°C
15%
20°C or higher
15%
16°C 26%
13°C 25%
15°C 25%
12°C 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 авг. 2026 г.
10°C or below
$5 Объем
17%
11°C
$198 Объем
16%
12°C
$0 Объем
25%
13°C
$0 Объем
25%
14°C
$0 Объем
21%
15°C
$0 Объем
25%
16°C
$0 Объем
26%
17°C
$0 Объем
10%
18°C
$5 Объем
16%
19°C
$5 Объем
15%
20°C or higher
$5 Объем
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst show closely clustered minimum temperature projections for Munich on August 27, with the 12–16 °C range carrying the bulk of implied probability due to modest uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. A weak high-pressure ridge currently steering drier air across southern Germany favors clearer skies that enhance nighttime heat loss, yet any increase in low-level cloud cover or a slight shift in wind direction from the northwest could raise the low by 2–3 °C. Historical late-August climatology places typical Munich lows near 13–15 °C, providing a baseline against which small forecast perturbations are being priced. Traders are monitoring the next 12–18 hour model runs and surface observations for clearer signals on cloud trends and 2-meter temperature trends ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$218Дата окончания
27 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst show closely clustered minimum temperature projections for Munich on August 27, with the 12–16 °C range carrying the bulk of implied probability due to modest uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. A weak high-pressure ridge currently steering drier air across southern Germany favors clearer skies that enhance nighttime heat loss, yet any increase in low-level cloud cover or a slight shift in wind direction from the northwest could raise the low by 2–3 °C. Historical late-August climatology places typical Munich lows near 13–15 °C, providing a baseline against which small forecast perturbations are being priced. Traders are monitoring the next 12–18 hour model runs and surface observations for clearer signals on cloud trends and 2-meter temperature trends ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$218Дата окончания
27 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst show closely clustered minimum temperature projections for Munich on August 27, with the 12–16 °C range carrying the bulk of implied probability due to modest uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. A weak high-pressure ridge currently steering drier air across southern Germany favors clearer skies that enhance nighttime heat loss, yet any increase in low-level cloud cover or a slight shift in wind direction from the northwest could raise the low by 2–3 °C. Historical late-August climatology places typical Munich lows near 13–15 °C, providing a baseline against which small forecast perturbations are being priced. Traders are monitoring the next 12–18 hour model runs and surface observations for clearer signals on cloud trends and 2-meter temperature trends ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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