National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs centered the overnight low in New York City at 50–51°F on May 24, driven by persistent cloud cover that curtailed radiational cooling, light easterly winds, and the passage of a weak frontal boundary. These conditions aligned with seasonal norms for late May, where average lows hover near 55–60°F, and recent observational data from nearby stations reinforced the projected range. Trader consensus at near-100% for 50–51°F reflects this strong alignment between forecasts and surface observations. Clearer skies overnight or a sharper cold-air advection could have produced lower readings and shifted odds, though current data show no such deviation occurred.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоLowest temperature in NYC on May 24?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 24?
50-51°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$25,747 Объем
$25,747 Объем
24 мая 2026 г.
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
Yes
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
No
50-51°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$25,747 Объем
$25,747 Объем
24 мая 2026 г.
43°F or below
$8,625 Объем
No
44-45°F
$1,585 Объем
No
46-47°F
$1,055 Объем
No
48-49°F
$1,708 Объем
No
50-51°F
$2,707 Объем
Yes
52-53°F
$2,260 Объем
No
54-55°F
$1,107 Объем
No
56-57°F
$1,158 Объем
No
58-59°F
$3,834 Объем
No
60-61°F
$818 Объем
No
62°F or higher
$891 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs centered the overnight low in New York City at 50–51°F on May 24, driven by persistent cloud cover that curtailed radiational cooling, light easterly winds, and the passage of a weak frontal boundary. These conditions aligned with seasonal norms for late May, where average lows hover near 55–60°F, and recent observational data from nearby stations reinforced the projected range. Trader consensus at near-100% for 50–51°F reflects this strong alignment between forecasts and surface observations. Clearer skies overnight or a sharper cold-air advection could have produced lower readings and shifted odds, though current data show no such deviation occurred.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Объем
$25,747Дата окончания
24 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs centered the overnight low in New York City at 50–51°F on May 24, driven by persistent cloud cover that curtailed radiational cooling, light easterly winds, and the passage of a weak frontal boundary. These conditions aligned with seasonal norms for late May, where average lows hover near 55–60°F, and recent observational data from nearby stations reinforced the projected range. Trader consensus at near-100% for 50–51°F reflects this strong alignment between forecasts and surface observations. Clearer skies overnight or a sharper cold-air advection could have produced lower readings and shifted odds, though current data show no such deviation occurred.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$25,747Дата окончания
24 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs centered the overnight low in New York City at 50–51°F on May 24, driven by persistent cloud cover that curtailed radiational cooling, light easterly winds, and the passage of a weak frontal boundary. These conditions aligned with seasonal norms for late May, where average lows hover near 55–60°F, and recent observational data from nearby stations reinforced the projected range. Trader consensus at near-100% for 50–51°F reflects this strong alignment between forecasts and surface observations. Clearer skies overnight or a sharper cold-air advection could have produced lower readings and shifted odds, though current data show no such deviation occurred.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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