Recent forecast models from Météo-France and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a minimum temperature of 13°C for Paris on June 14 under stable high-pressure conditions and clear overnight skies that promote radiative cooling. This aligns with mid-June climatology, where typical overnight lows range 12–16°C amid moderate humidity and light winds. Trader consensus at 99.8% for the 13°C bin reflects this strong model agreement and ongoing surface observations. A sudden influx of cooler maritime air or localized measurement variations at official stations could still shift the recorded minimum, though such changes appear unlikely before final data validation.