Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Paris on September 23 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure that promotes modest radiational cooling overnight. This setup aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 11°C and 12°C, where small differences in model timing for any increase in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context, but current stable conditions limit colder outliers below 10°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the short lead time before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 23 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 23 сентября?
11°C 43%
8°C или ниже 27%
14°C 24%
10°C 24%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 сент. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
27%
9°C
13%
10°C
24%
11°C
43%
12°C
22%
13°C
14%
14°C
24%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C или выше
2%
11°C 43%
8°C или ниже 27%
14°C 24%
10°C 24%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 сент. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
$0 Объем
27%
9°C
$0 Объем
13%
10°C
$191 Объем
24%
11°C
$927 Объем
43%
12°C
$214 Объем
22%
13°C
$0 Объем
14%
14°C
$0 Объем
24%
15°C
$0 Объем
2%
16°C
$0 Объем
2%
17°C
$0 Объем
2%
18°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Paris on September 23 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure that promotes modest radiational cooling overnight. This setup aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 11°C and 12°C, where small differences in model timing for any increase in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context, but current stable conditions limit colder outliers below 10°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the short lead time before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$1,332Дата окончания
23 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Paris on September 23 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure that promotes modest radiational cooling overnight. This setup aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 11°C and 12°C, where small differences in model timing for any increase in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context, but current stable conditions limit colder outliers below 10°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the short lead time before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,332Дата окончания
23 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Paris on September 23 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure that promotes modest radiational cooling overnight. This setup aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 11°C and 12°C, where small differences in model timing for any increase in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context, but current stable conditions limit colder outliers below 10°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the short lead time before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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