Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows in Shanghai on August 27 will likely settle between 27–28°C, driven by persistently high dew points near 25–26°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under humid subtropical conditions. Light northeast winds, scattered cloud cover, and possible light rain reduce temperature drops below recent nightly minima around 27°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with traders weighing model consensus on boundary-layer moisture and surface pressure gradients against minor uncertainties in timing of any frontal passage. Historical August averages near 24–25°C provide context, but elevated humidity this season sustains warmer minima. Updated runs from global ensembles could refine the exact low before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 27 августа?
28°C 51%
27°C 45%
26°C 4%
29°C 4%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
45%
28°C
51%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 51%
27°C 45%
26°C 4%
29°C 4%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
45%
28°C
51%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows in Shanghai on August 27 will likely settle between 27–28°C, driven by persistently high dew points near 25–26°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under humid subtropical conditions. Light northeast winds, scattered cloud cover, and possible light rain reduce temperature drops below recent nightly minima around 27°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with traders weighing model consensus on boundary-layer moisture and surface pressure gradients against minor uncertainties in timing of any frontal passage. Historical August averages near 24–25°C provide context, but elevated humidity this season sustains warmer minima. Updated runs from global ensembles could refine the exact low before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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