Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (51%) and 16°C (47%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 3 at Pudong International Airport, driven by uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling amid a passing upper-level trough bringing cooler mid-level air, per latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models. Yesterday's May 2 low unexpectedly dipped to 13°C—below the anticipated 16°C—due to clearer skies and light winds enabling efficient surface heat loss, heightening caution. Overcast conditions and westerly breezes up to 21 km/h are projected to temper cooling, with persistent cloud cover potentially lifting the minimum to 16°C while intermittent clearing risks 14°C (9%). Hourly Pudong observations will clarify, resolving via Wunderground data against early-May climatological lows near 16°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 3 мая?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 3 мая?
15°C 100.0%
11°C или ниже <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$19,371 Объем
$19,371 Объем
3 мая 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Да
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C или выше
Нет
15°C 100.0%
11°C или ниже <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$19,371 Объем
$19,371 Объем
3 мая 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
$1,804 Объем
Нет
12°C
$1,990 Объем
Нет
13°C
$2,147 Объем
Нет
14°C
$846 Объем
Нет
15°C
$1,331 Объем
Да
16°C
$349 Объем
Нет
17°C
$740 Объем
Нет
18°C
$8,609 Объем
Нет
19°C
$217 Объем
Нет
20°C
$388 Объем
Нет
21°C или выше
$950 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (51%) and 16°C (47%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 3 at Pudong International Airport, driven by uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling amid a passing upper-level trough bringing cooler mid-level air, per latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models. Yesterday's May 2 low unexpectedly dipped to 13°C—below the anticipated 16°C—due to clearer skies and light winds enabling efficient surface heat loss, heightening caution. Overcast conditions and westerly breezes up to 21 km/h are projected to temper cooling, with persistent cloud cover potentially lifting the minimum to 16°C while intermittent clearing risks 14°C (9%). Hourly Pudong observations will clarify, resolving via Wunderground data against early-May climatological lows near 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$19,371Дата окончания
3 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (51%) and 16°C (47%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 3 at Pudong International Airport, driven by uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling amid a passing upper-level trough bringing cooler mid-level air, per latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models. Yesterday's May 2 low unexpectedly dipped to 13°C—below the anticipated 16°C—due to clearer skies and light winds enabling efficient surface heat loss, heightening caution. Overcast conditions and westerly breezes up to 21 km/h are projected to temper cooling, with persistent cloud cover potentially lifting the minimum to 16°C while intermittent clearing risks 14°C (9%). Hourly Pudong observations will clarify, resolving via Wunderground data against early-May climatological lows near 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$19,371Дата окончания
3 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (51%) and 16°C (47%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 3 at Pudong International Airport, driven by uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling amid a passing upper-level trough bringing cooler mid-level air, per latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models. Yesterday's May 2 low unexpectedly dipped to 13°C—below the anticipated 16°C—due to clearer skies and light winds enabling efficient surface heat loss, heightening caution. Overcast conditions and westerly breezes up to 21 km/h are projected to temper cooling, with persistent cloud cover potentially lifting the minimum to 16°C while intermittent clearing risks 14°C (9%). Hourly Pudong observations will clarify, resolving via Wunderground data against early-May climatological lows near 16°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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