Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 24 will likely fall between 8–10°C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 2–4 m/s, and high humidity near 90%. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clear nights, aligning with typical mid-September climatology where daily lows average near 10°C. Trader consensus splits between sub-3°C and above-12°C outcomes at equal implied odds because ensemble members show modest spread from variable cloud thickness and possible model bias in boundary-layer mixing; clearer breaks could drop readings toward 6–7°C while persistent overcast holds values near 9–11°C. Final NWP updates and local observations before midnight local time will refine resolution thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Варшаве 24 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 24 сентября?
2°C или ниже 92%
12°C или выше 92%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 сент. 2026 г.
2°C или ниже
92%
3°C
14%
4°C
16%
5°C
27%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
36%
9°C
36%
10°C
36%
11°C
36%
12°C или выше
92%
2°C или ниже 92%
12°C или выше 92%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 сент. 2026 г.
2°C или ниже
$0 Объем
92%
3°C
$0 Объем
14%
4°C
$0 Объем
16%
5°C
$99 Объем
27%
6°C
$0 Объем
40%
7°C
$0 Объем
40%
8°C
$0 Объем
36%
9°C
$0 Объем
36%
10°C
$0 Объем
36%
11°C
$0 Объем
36%
12°C или выше
$0 Объем
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 24 will likely fall between 8–10°C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 2–4 m/s, and high humidity near 90%. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clear nights, aligning with typical mid-September climatology where daily lows average near 10°C. Trader consensus splits between sub-3°C and above-12°C outcomes at equal implied odds because ensemble members show modest spread from variable cloud thickness and possible model bias in boundary-layer mixing; clearer breaks could drop readings toward 6–7°C while persistent overcast holds values near 9–11°C. Final NWP updates and local observations before midnight local time will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$99Дата окончания
24 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 24 will likely fall between 8–10°C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 2–4 m/s, and high humidity near 90%. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clear nights, aligning with typical mid-September climatology where daily lows average near 10°C. Trader consensus splits between sub-3°C and above-12°C outcomes at equal implied odds because ensemble members show modest spread from variable cloud thickness and possible model bias in boundary-layer mixing; clearer breaks could drop readings toward 6–7°C while persistent overcast holds values near 9–11°C. Final NWP updates and local observations before midnight local time will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$99Дата окончания
24 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 24 will likely fall between 8–10°C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 2–4 m/s, and high humidity near 90%. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clear nights, aligning with typical mid-September climatology where daily lows average near 10°C. Trader consensus splits between sub-3°C and above-12°C outcomes at equal implied odds because ensemble members show modest spread from variable cloud thickness and possible model bias in boundary-layer mixing; clearer breaks could drop readings toward 6–7°C while persistent overcast holds values near 9–11°C. Final NWP updates and local observations before midnight local time will refine resolution thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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