Recent forecasts for Wuhan highlight cooling on August 30 driven by peripheral flow from typhoon activity, introducing cloud cover, showers, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating and moderate overnight lows. Official guidance and ensemble models show expected minima clustered around 25–27°C, with variance arising from differences in predicted rainfall timing, humidity levels, and radiative cooling under varying cloud fractions. Higher odds on 26°C and 27°C reflect consensus around moderate instability and dew points near 24°C, while slightly lower values remain plausible if heavier rain enhances evaporative cooling. Traders weigh these factors against historical late-August baselines near 28°C, as new model runs approach resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 30 августа?
30°C 58%
26°C 45%
27°C 45%
25°C 44%
22°C or below
20%
23°C
11%
24°C
41%
25°C
44%
26°C
45%
27°C
45%
28°C
2%
29°C
43%
30°C
58%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
15%
30°C 58%
26°C 45%
27°C 45%
25°C 44%
22°C or below
20%
23°C
11%
24°C
41%
25°C
44%
26°C
45%
27°C
45%
28°C
2%
29°C
43%
30°C
58%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan highlight cooling on August 30 driven by peripheral flow from typhoon activity, introducing cloud cover, showers, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating and moderate overnight lows. Official guidance and ensemble models show expected minima clustered around 25–27°C, with variance arising from differences in predicted rainfall timing, humidity levels, and radiative cooling under varying cloud fractions. Higher odds on 26°C and 27°C reflect consensus around moderate instability and dew points near 24°C, while slightly lower values remain plausible if heavier rain enhances evaporative cooling. Traders weigh these factors against historical late-August baselines near 28°C, as new model runs approach resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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