**Current forecast models from sources including the Wuhan Meteorological Station and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 23°C on September 26, driven by a lingering warm, humid air mass with scattered showers that limit nocturnal cooling.** Persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly winds are expected to keep overnight lows in the 22–24°C range, consistent with recent observations of 23–24°C minima amid ongoing precipitation. The near-even market split between “18°C or below” (50%) and “28°C or higher” (49%) reflects trader uncertainty around potential model spread or a sharper cold-air intrusion, though official guidance shows the front arriving after the 26th. Historical September lows average near 20°C, but current conditions favor the mid-20s; upcoming model runs and local observations will refine resolution thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 26 сентября?
28°C или выше 98%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
19°C 39%
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C или выше
98%
28°C или выше 98%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
19°C 39%
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C или выше
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...**Current forecast models from sources including the Wuhan Meteorological Station and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 23°C on September 26, driven by a lingering warm, humid air mass with scattered showers that limit nocturnal cooling.** Persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly winds are expected to keep overnight lows in the 22–24°C range, consistent with recent observations of 23–24°C minima amid ongoing precipitation. The near-even market split between “18°C or below” (50%) and “28°C or higher” (49%) reflects trader uncertainty around potential model spread or a sharper cold-air intrusion, though official guidance shows the front arriving after the 26th. Historical September lows average near 20°C, but current conditions favor the mid-20s; upcoming model runs and local observations will refine resolution thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы