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Мир·Автоматизация наград 50 4.5 50

Number of TSA Passengers April 3?

Market icon
Мир·Автоматизация наград 50 4.5 50

Number of TSA Passengers April 3?

мар. 31

апр. 1

апр. 2

апр. 3

мар. 31

апр. 1

апр. 2

апр. 3

<3.0M 97.6%

3.0M-3.2M 1.9%

3.4M-3.6M <1%

3.2M-3.4M <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<3.0M 97.6%

3.0M-3.2M 1.9%

3.4M-3.6M <1%

3.2M-3.4M <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<3.0M

$131 Объем

98%

3.0M-3.2M

$26 Объем

2%

3.2M-3.4M

$424 Объем

<1%

3.4M-3.6M

$344 Объем

<1%

3.6M-3.8M

$373 Объем

<1%

>3.8M

$567 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus strongly backs under 3 million TSA-screened passengers on April 3 at 97.3% implied probability, reflecting late March throughput data consistently below this threshold—peaking at 2.87 million during spring break before stabilizing around 2.5 million weekdays, with March 30 at 2.53 million. Government shutdown staffing strains caused long lines but suppressed surges amid post-peak lull, aligning volumes with historical norms short of 3 million even on busy Thursdays. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores steady business travel patterns. Realistic upsets could stem from pre-Easter weekend rush on April 3 (before Good Friday), weather recoveries, or unexpected events pushing into 3.0-3.2 million territory, though recent trends make this unlikely absent major catalysts.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Объем
$1,866
Дата окончания
3 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus strongly backs under 3 million TSA-screened passengers on April 3 at 97.3% implied probability, reflecting late March throughput data consistently below this threshold—peaking at 2.87 million during spring break before stabilizing around 2.5 million weekdays, with March 30 at 2.53 million. Government shutdown staffing strains caused long lines but suppressed surges amid post-peak lull, aligning volumes with historical norms short of 3 million even on busy Thursdays. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores steady business travel patterns. Realistic upsets could stem from pre-Easter weekend rush on April 3 (before Good Friday), weather recoveries, or unexpected events pushing into 3.0-3.2 million territory, though recent trends make this unlikely absent major catalysts.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Объем
$1,866
Дата окончания
3 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Number of TSA Passengers April 3?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «<3.0M» с 98%, за ним следует «3.0M-3.2M» с 2%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 98¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Number of TSA Passengers April 3?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Mar 30, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Number of TSA Passengers April 3?», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Number of TSA Passengers April 3?» — «<3.0M» с 98%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Следующий ближайший исход — «3.0M-3.2M» с 2%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Number of TSA Passengers April 3?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.