Market icon
Политика·DHS

Number of US Flights Delayed April 10?

Market icon
Политика·DHS

Number of US Flights Delayed April 10?

мар. 29

апр. 6

апр. 9

апр. 10

мар. 29

апр. 6

апр. 9

апр. 10

<4,000 41%

4,000-4,500 41%

4,500-5,000 41%

5,500-6,000 41%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<4,000 41%

4,000-4,500 41%

4,500-5,000 41%

5,500-6,000 41%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<4,000

$0 Объем

41%

4,000-4,500

$0 Объем

41%

4,500-5,000

$0 Объем

41%

5,000-5,500

$0 Объем

40%

5,500-6,000

$0 Объем

41%

6,000-6,500

$0 Объем

40%

6,500-7,000

$0 Объем

41%

>7,000

$0 Объем

40%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Persistent spring weather volatility, highlighted by the FAA's April 8 air traffic report warning of thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds at major hubs like Boston (BOS), Philadelphia (PHL), Denver (DEN), New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), and Seattle (SEA), keeps April 10 delay forecasts uncertain amid recent patterns of 4,600-5,600 daily disruptions. FlightAware data shows 4,647 US delays on April 8, down from over 5,600 during Easter weekend storms but above typical mid-week levels due to ongoing operational strains and variable storm tracks. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,500-7,000 at 41% implied probabilities, reflecting balanced risks from potential FAA ground stops or intensifying severe weather versus clearing skies and lighter volumes; late updates on Central US thunderstorms could tip outcomes higher or lower.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
10 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 5:55 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Persistent spring weather volatility, highlighted by the FAA's April 8 air traffic report warning of thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds at major hubs like Boston (BOS), Philadelphia (PHL), Denver (DEN), New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), and Seattle (SEA), keeps April 10 delay forecasts uncertain amid recent patterns of 4,600-5,600 daily disruptions. FlightAware data shows 4,647 US delays on April 8, down from over 5,600 during Easter weekend storms but above typical mid-week levels due to ongoing operational strains and variable storm tracks. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,500-7,000 at 41% implied probabilities, reflecting balanced risks from potential FAA ground stops or intensifying severe weather versus clearing skies and lighter volumes; late updates on Central US thunderstorms could tip outcomes higher or lower.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
10 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 5:55 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Number of US Flights Delayed April 10?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «<4,000» с 41%, за ним следует «4,000-4,500» с 41%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 41¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 41%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Number of US Flights Delayed April 10?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 8, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Number of US Flights Delayed April 10?», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Number of US Flights Delayed April 10?» — «<4,000» с 41%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 41%. Следующий ближайший исход — «4,000-4,500» с 41%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Number of US Flights Delayed April 10?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.