NVIDIA's market-implied odds heavily favor the 74%-76% non-GAAP gross margin band for the quarter because the company has consistently guided toward mid-70s targets on the strength of its AI accelerator mix. High-margin data center products, including Blackwell ramp and CUDA software lock-in, continue to drive premium pricing amid sustained demand from hyperscalers. Recent quarters showed recovery from earlier China-related headwinds, with non-GAAP margins climbing back toward 73-75% as supply constraints eased and higher-value configurations dominated. Traders see limited near-term downside from mix shifts or costs, while upside above 76% remains constrained by typical quarterly variability and any incremental R&D or manufacturing expenses. The August earnings release and forward guidance will serve as the next key catalyst for these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСкорректированная валовая маржа NVIDIA (NVDA) за 2 квартал (не по GAAP)?
74%-76% 55%
72%-74% 20%
<72% 7%
76%-78% 4.5%
<72%
7%
72%-74%
20%
74%-76%
55%
76%-78%
5%
Более 78%
3%
74%-76% 55%
72%-74% 20%
<72% 7%
76%-78% 4.5%
<72%
7%
72%-74%
20%
74%-76%
55%
76%-78%
5%
Более 78%
3%
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
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If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...NVIDIA's market-implied odds heavily favor the 74%-76% non-GAAP gross margin band for the quarter because the company has consistently guided toward mid-70s targets on the strength of its AI accelerator mix. High-margin data center products, including Blackwell ramp and CUDA software lock-in, continue to drive premium pricing amid sustained demand from hyperscalers. Recent quarters showed recovery from earlier China-related headwinds, with non-GAAP margins climbing back toward 73-75% as supply constraints eased and higher-value configurations dominated. Traders see limited near-term downside from mix shifts or costs, while upside above 76% remains constrained by typical quarterly variability and any incremental R&D or manufacturing expenses. The August earnings release and forward guidance will serve as the next key catalyst for these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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