Recent polling averages, including Silver Bulletin's net -16.9 as of April 3, have placed President Trump's job approval in the high 38s to low 40s range, driving Polymarket traders to cluster odds tightly across 38.5–40.4% bins amid volatility from the Iran war escalation, which has pushed gas prices above $4 per gallon for the first time in four years and dragged his economic approval to a career-low 31% in a CNN poll. Divergent recent surveys—Rasmussen at 46% approve versus CNN and Economist/YouGov near 38–39%—underscore the contest's closeness, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty ahead of April 10 resolution. Potential separators include new polls, Iran diplomatic updates, or economic indicators like mortgage rates, which have risen for five straight weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено39.5–39.9 61%
39.0–39.4 31%
38.5–38.9 30%
40.0–40.4 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 апр. 2026 г.
<38.5
15%
38.5–38.9
30%
39.0–39.4
31%
39.5–39.9
38%
40.0–40.4
27%
40.5+
4%
39.5–39.9 61%
39.0–39.4 31%
38.5–38.9 30%
40.0–40.4 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 апр. 2026 г.
<38.5
$180 Объем
15%
38.5–38.9
$0 Объем
30%
39.0–39.4
$0 Объем
31%
39.5–39.9
$163 Объем
38%
40.0–40.4
$0 Объем
27%
40.5+
$523 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages, including Silver Bulletin's net -16.9 as of April 3, have placed President Trump's job approval in the high 38s to low 40s range, driving Polymarket traders to cluster odds tightly across 38.5–40.4% bins amid volatility from the Iran war escalation, which has pushed gas prices above $4 per gallon for the first time in four years and dragged his economic approval to a career-low 31% in a CNN poll. Divergent recent surveys—Rasmussen at 46% approve versus CNN and Economist/YouGov near 38–39%—underscore the contest's closeness, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty ahead of April 10 resolution. Potential separators include new polls, Iran diplomatic updates, or economic indicators like mortgage rates, which have risen for five straight weeks.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Объем
$866Дата окончания
11 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages, including Silver Bulletin's net -16.9 as of April 3, have placed President Trump's job approval in the high 38s to low 40s range, driving Polymarket traders to cluster odds tightly across 38.5–40.4% bins amid volatility from the Iran war escalation, which has pushed gas prices above $4 per gallon for the first time in four years and dragged his economic approval to a career-low 31% in a CNN poll. Divergent recent surveys—Rasmussen at 46% approve versus CNN and Economist/YouGov near 38–39%—underscore the contest's closeness, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty ahead of April 10 resolution. Potential separators include new polls, Iran diplomatic updates, or economic indicators like mortgage rates, which have risen for five straight weeks.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$866Дата окончания
11 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages, including Silver Bulletin's net -16.9 as of April 3, have placed President Trump's job approval in the high 38s to low 40s range, driving Polymarket traders to cluster odds tightly across 38.5–40.4% bins amid volatility from the Iran war escalation, which has pushed gas prices above $4 per gallon for the first time in four years and dragged his economic approval to a career-low 31% in a CNN poll. Divergent recent surveys—Rasmussen at 46% approve versus CNN and Economist/YouGov near 38–39%—underscore the contest's closeness, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty ahead of April 10 resolution. Potential separators include new polls, Iran diplomatic updates, or economic indicators like mortgage rates, which have risen for five straight weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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