U.S. District Judge Richard J. Leon's March 31 preliminary injunction halted President Trump's $400 million White House East Wing ballroom construction, ruling it requires congressional authorization as the executive cannot unilaterally fund or approve such projects on historic grounds without legislative approval. The Justice Department swiftly filed a notice of appeal, with the order delayed 14 days for potential stays, but traders reflect skepticism on swift reversal given appeals court timelines and slim prospects for congressional action amid competing priorities like appropriations and debt ceiling debates. Absent a rapid judicial lift or rare legislative intervention by April 30, the federal court block remains in effect, anchoring trader consensus at 84% for "No."
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоThis market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. District Judge Richard J. Leon's March 31 preliminary injunction halted President Trump's $400 million White House East Wing ballroom construction, ruling it requires congressional authorization as the executive cannot unilaterally fund or approve such projects on historic grounds without legislative approval. The Justice Department swiftly filed a notice of appeal, with the order delayed 14 days for potential stays, but traders reflect skepticism on swift reversal given appeals court timelines and slim prospects for congressional action amid competing priorities like appropriations and debt ceiling debates. Absent a rapid judicial lift or rare legislative intervention by April 30, the federal court block remains in effect, anchoring trader consensus at 84% for "No."
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы