Recent US-Cuba diplomatic contacts, including an April delegation visit to Havana and CIA Director John Ratcliffe’s May meetings with Cuban officials on intelligence, security, and economic issues, have shaped trader assessments of near-term meetings. These occurred against the backdrop of Trump administration executive orders designating Cuba a national security threat, secondary tariffs on oil suppliers, and a resulting fuel blockade that deepened the island’s energy and economic crisis following the January ouster of Venezuela’s Maduro. Cuban leaders have signaled willingness to negotiate without preconditions on regime change, while US officials continue to link any broader engagement to reforms and prisoner releases. Scheduled migration and technical talks remain suspended, leaving resolution timing dependent on further bilateral steps or policy shifts within the current administration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$2,549,696 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
May 31
Yes
June 30
Yes
$2,549,696 Объем
May 31
$2,303,526 Объем
Yes
June 30
$246,170 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent US-Cuba diplomatic contacts, including an April delegation visit to Havana and CIA Director John Ratcliffe’s May meetings with Cuban officials on intelligence, security, and economic issues, have shaped trader assessments of near-term meetings. These occurred against the backdrop of Trump administration executive orders designating Cuba a national security threat, secondary tariffs on oil suppliers, and a resulting fuel blockade that deepened the island’s energy and economic crisis following the January ouster of Venezuela’s Maduro. Cuban leaders have signaled willingness to negotiate without preconditions on regime change, while US officials continue to link any broader engagement to reforms and prisoner releases. Scheduled migration and technical talks remain suspended, leaving resolution timing dependent on further bilateral steps or policy shifts within the current administration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: May 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
Объем
$2,549,696Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Yes
Оспаривается
Предложенный исход: Yes
Оспаривается
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent US-Cuba diplomatic contacts, including an April delegation visit to Havana and CIA Director John Ratcliffe’s May meetings with Cuban officials on intelligence, security, and economic issues, have shaped trader assessments of near-term meetings. These occurred against the backdrop of Trump administration executive orders designating Cuba a national security threat, secondary tariffs on oil suppliers, and a resulting fuel blockade that deepened the island’s energy and economic crisis following the January ouster of Venezuela’s Maduro. Cuban leaders have signaled willingness to negotiate without preconditions on regime change, while US officials continue to link any broader engagement to reforms and prisoner releases. Scheduled migration and technical talks remain suspended, leaving resolution timing dependent on further bilateral steps or policy shifts within the current administration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$2,549,696Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Yes
Оспаривается
Предложенный исход: Yes
Оспаривается
Окончательный исход: Yes
Recent US-Cuba diplomatic contacts, including an April delegation visit to Havana and CIA Director John Ratcliffe’s May meetings with Cuban officials on intelligence, security, and economic issues, have shaped trader assessments of near-term meetings. These occurred against the backdrop of Trump administration executive orders designating Cuba a national security threat, secondary tariffs on oil suppliers, and a resulting fuel blockade that deepened the island’s energy and economic crisis following the January ouster of Venezuela’s Maduro. Cuban leaders have signaled willingness to negotiate without preconditions on regime change, while US officials continue to link any broader engagement to reforms and prisoner releases. Scheduled migration and technical talks remain suspended, leaving resolution timing dependent on further bilateral steps or policy shifts within the current administration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы