Partial results from Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, with over 90% of actas processed by the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE), place Keiko Fujimori in first at approximately 17%, but second place remains a dead heat among Rafael López Aliaga, Roberto Sánchez, Jorge Nieto, and Ricardo Belmont, none exceeding 12%. Logistical delays extending voting to April 13, unsubstantiated fraud claims by López Aliaga, and protests have heightened uncertainty, driving trader consensus toward "Other" top-two combinations at 69.2% implied probability. The López Aliaga & Fujimori pairing, at 29.5%, reflects exit polls positioning them as frontrunners, though fragmentation among 35 candidates makes other pairings likely for the June 7 runoff. Final tallies and potential challenges loom.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДругое 69.7%
Лопес Алиага и Фухимори 29%
Фухимори и Нието <1%
Лопес Алиага и Лопес Чау <1%
$984,930 Объем
$984,930 Объем
Другое
70%
Лопес Алиага и Фухимори
29%
Фухимори и Нието
1%
Лопес Алиага и Лопес Чау
<1%
Лопес Алиага и Ньето
<1%
Лопес Чау и Фухимори
<1%
Лопес Чау и Нието
<1%
Лопес Чау и Санчес Паломино
<1%
Лопес Алиага и Санчес Паломино
<1%
Лопес Алиага и Грозо
<1%
Другое 69.7%
Лопес Алиага и Фухимори 29%
Фухимори и Нието <1%
Лопес Алиага и Лопес Чау <1%
$984,930 Объем
$984,930 Объем
Другое
70%
Лопес Алиага и Фухимори
29%
Фухимори и Нието
1%
Лопес Алиага и Лопес Чау
<1%
Лопес Алиага и Ньето
<1%
Лопес Чау и Фухимори
<1%
Лопес Чау и Нието
<1%
Лопес Чау и Санчес Паломино
<1%
Лопес Алиага и Санчес Паломино
<1%
Лопес Алиага и Грозо
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Partial results from Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, with over 90% of actas processed by the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE), place Keiko Fujimori in first at approximately 17%, but second place remains a dead heat among Rafael López Aliaga, Roberto Sánchez, Jorge Nieto, and Ricardo Belmont, none exceeding 12%. Logistical delays extending voting to April 13, unsubstantiated fraud claims by López Aliaga, and protests have heightened uncertainty, driving trader consensus toward "Other" top-two combinations at 69.2% implied probability. The López Aliaga & Fujimori pairing, at 29.5%, reflects exit polls positioning them as frontrunners, though fragmentation among 35 candidates makes other pairings likely for the June 7 runoff. Final tallies and potential challenges loom.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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