With vote counting from Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election ongoing amid logistical delays and unsubstantiated fraud claims, Keiko Fujimori holds a lead at around 17% per partial tallies and exit polls, but the battle for second remains tight between Rafael López Aliaga (~12-13%), Roberto Sánchez (~12%), and Jorge Nieto (~11%), reflecting a fragmented field of 35 candidates where no one nears the 50% threshold for outright victory. Traders price "Other" highest as rural areas—Sánchez strongholds—count slower than urban centers bolstering López Aliaga, yet the Fujimori-López Aliaga pairing commands 41% implied probability based on pre-election polling dead heats and early Datum/Ipsos exit polls projecting them as top two. Runoff looms June 7 barring surprises.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДругое 58.3%
Лопес Алиага и Фухимори 42%
Фухимори и Нието <1%
Лопес Алиага и Лопес Чау <1%
$975,235 Объем
$975,235 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
Другое
58%
Лопес Алиага и Фухимори
42%
Фухимори и Нието
<1%
Лопес Алиага и Лопес Чау
<1%
Лопес Алиага и Ньето
<1%
Лопес Чау и Фухимори
<1%
Лопес Чау и Нието
<1%
Лопес Чау и Санчес Паломино
<1%
Лопес Алиага и Санчес Паломино
<1%
Лопес Алиага и Грозо
<1%
Другое 58.3%
Лопес Алиага и Фухимори 42%
Фухимори и Нието <1%
Лопес Алиага и Лопес Чау <1%
$975,235 Объем
$975,235 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
Другое
$244,732 Объем
58%
Лопес Алиага и Фухимори
$318,794 Объем
42%
Фухимори и Нието
$198,753 Объем
<1%
Лопес Алиага и Лопес Чау
$24,017 Объем
<1%
Лопес Алиага и Ньето
$32,793 Объем
<1%
Лопес Чау и Фухимори
$67,800 Объем
<1%
Лопес Чау и Нието
$16,487 Объем
<1%
Лопес Чау и Санчес Паломино
$24,242 Объем
<1%
Лопес Алиага и Санчес Паломино
$37,670 Объем
<1%
Лопес Алиага и Грозо
$9,953 Объем
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).With vote counting from Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election ongoing amid logistical delays and unsubstantiated fraud claims, Keiko Fujimori holds a lead at around 17% per partial tallies and exit polls, but the battle for second remains tight between Rafael López Aliaga (~12-13%), Roberto Sánchez (~12%), and Jorge Nieto (~11%), reflecting a fragmented field of 35 candidates where no one nears the 50% threshold for outright victory. Traders price "Other" highest as rural areas—Sánchez strongholds—count slower than urban centers bolstering López Aliaga, yet the Fujimori-López Aliaga pairing commands 41% implied probability based on pre-election polling dead heats and early Datum/Ipsos exit polls projecting them as top two. Runoff looms June 7 barring surprises.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Объем
$975,235Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).With vote counting from Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election ongoing amid logistical delays and unsubstantiated fraud claims, Keiko Fujimori holds a lead at around 17% per partial tallies and exit polls, but the battle for second remains tight between Rafael López Aliaga (~12-13%), Roberto Sánchez (~12%), and Jorge Nieto (~11%), reflecting a fragmented field of 35 candidates where no one nears the 50% threshold for outright victory. Traders price "Other" highest as rural areas—Sánchez strongholds—count slower than urban centers bolstering López Aliaga, yet the Fujimori-López Aliaga pairing commands 41% implied probability based on pre-election polling dead heats and early Datum/Ipsos exit polls projecting them as top two. Runoff looms June 7 barring surprises.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Объем
$975,235Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With vote counting from Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election ongoing amid logistical delays and unsubstantiated fraud claims, Keiko Fujimori holds a lead at around 17% per partial tallies and exit polls, but the battle for second remains tight between Rafael López Aliaga (~12-13%), Roberto Sánchez (~12%), and Jorge Nieto (~11%), reflecting a fragmented field of 35 candidates where no one nears the 50% threshold for outright victory. Traders price "Other" highest as rural areas—Sánchez strongholds—count slower than urban centers bolstering López Aliaga, yet the Fujimori-López Aliaga pairing commands 41% implied probability based on pre-election polling dead heats and early Datum/Ipsos exit polls projecting them as top two. Runoff looms June 7 barring surprises.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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